Redistricting by Utah courts produced a new 1st congressional district anchored in Democratic-leaning portions of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024 and prior cycles showed consistent Democratic support near 56 percent. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 50 percent of the vote against state Sen. Nate Blouin and other challengers, positioning the former representative for the general election on November 3. Riley Owen emerged unopposed as the Republican nominee. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-01 House Election Winner
$42,110 ปริมาณ
$42,110 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$42,110 ปริมาณ
$42,110 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Utah courts produced a new 1st congressional district anchored in Democratic-leaning portions of Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by roughly 24 points in 2024 and prior cycles showed consistent Democratic support near 56 percent. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 50 percent of the vote against state Sen. Nate Blouin and other challengers, positioning the former representative for the general election on November 3. Riley Owen emerged unopposed as the Republican nominee. Forecasters across Cook, Decision Desk HQ, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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