Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race because the newly drawn northern Utah seat remains solidly Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 29 points in 2024. Moore, the three-term incumbent and House Republican Conference vice chair, secured the nomination in June after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Peter Crosby, who faced no primary opposition, trails sharply in both resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural partisan advantage and Moore’s established position.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUT-02 House Election Winner
$15,841 ปริมาณ
$15,841 ปริมาณ
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,841 ปริมาณ
$15,841 ปริมาณ
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race because the newly drawn northern Utah seat remains solidly Republican, with Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 29 points in 2024. Moore, the three-term incumbent and House Republican Conference vice chair, secured the nomination in June after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee with Trump’s endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge. Democrat Peter Crosby, who faced no primary opposition, trails sharply in both resources and name recognition. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the district’s structural partisan advantage and Moore’s established position.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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