Recent August polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows Wellington Fagundes (PL) and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the Mato Grosso governorship, with Fagundes at 27-35% and Pivetta at 23-39% depending on the survey, well within margins of error. This equilibrium stems from Pivetta's incumbency advantage and recent alliance backing from União Brasil, offset by Fagundes's stronger name recognition from his Senate tenure and support within PL circles. High undecided and blank/null shares around 30-40% in multiple surveys keep first-round outcomes fluid, while limited visibility for other candidates like Doutora Natasha (PSD) reinforces the two-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the potential for runoff volatility, with further separation likely hinging on candidate conventions, regional turnout patterns, or additional surveys before the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWellington Fagundes 59%
Otaviano Pivetta 39%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
59%
Otaviano Pivetta
39%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Doutora Natasha
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Wellington Fagundes 59%
Otaviano Pivetta 39%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Wellington Fagundes
$11,136 Vol.
59%
Otaviano Pivetta
$6,325 Vol.
39%
Mauricio Coelho
$936 Vol.
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
$689 Vol.
<1%
Doutora Natasha
$995 Vol.
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 Vol.
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows Wellington Fagundes (PL) and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the Mato Grosso governorship, with Fagundes at 27-35% and Pivetta at 23-39% depending on the survey, well within margins of error. This equilibrium stems from Pivetta's incumbency advantage and recent alliance backing from União Brasil, offset by Fagundes's stronger name recognition from his Senate tenure and support within PL circles. High undecided and blank/null shares around 30-40% in multiple surveys keep first-round outcomes fluid, while limited visibility for other candidates like Doutora Natasha (PSD) reinforces the two-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the potential for runoff volatility, with further separation likely hinging on candidate conventions, regional turnout patterns, or additional surveys before the October vote.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Volume
$20,951Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows Wellington Fagundes (PL) and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the Mato Grosso governorship, with Fagundes at 27-35% and Pivetta at 23-39% depending on the survey, well within margins of error. This equilibrium stems from Pivetta's incumbency advantage and recent alliance backing from União Brasil, offset by Fagundes's stronger name recognition from his Senate tenure and support within PL circles. High undecided and blank/null shares around 30-40% in multiple surveys keep first-round outcomes fluid, while limited visibility for other candidates like Doutora Natasha (PSD) reinforces the two-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the potential for runoff volatility, with further separation likely hinging on candidate conventions, regional turnout patterns, or additional surveys before the October vote.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,951Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August polling from Quaest and Paraná Pesquisas shows Wellington Fagundes (PL) and incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) in a technical tie for the Mato Grosso governorship, with Fagundes at 27-35% and Pivetta at 23-39% depending on the survey, well within margins of error. This equilibrium stems from Pivetta's incumbency advantage and recent alliance backing from União Brasil, offset by Fagundes's stronger name recognition from his Senate tenure and support within PL circles. High undecided and blank/null shares around 30-40% in multiple surveys keep first-round outcomes fluid, while limited visibility for other candidates like Doutora Natasha (PSD) reinforces the two-way contest. Trader consensus reflects these polling dynamics and the potential for runoff volatility, with further separation likely hinging on candidate conventions, regional turnout patterns, or additional surveys before the October vote.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong