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Heopolitika·Gitnang Silangan

Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

icon for Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?
Heopolitika·Gitnang Silangan

Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?

$7,094,908 Vol.

Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$7,094,908 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$381,218 Vol.

3%

October 31

$6,976 Vol.

10%

December 31

$588,006 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since becoming Iran’s Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following the February 28 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed his father Ali Khamenei and left Mojtaba with reported severe facial and leg injuries. He has made no verified public appearance, video, or audio recording in the ensuing six months, including during the July state funeral attended by other senior officials. Iranian authorities cite security threats amid ongoing conflict, while analysts note a more collective decision-making structure with limited personal authority for the new leader. Recent state media releases include undated clips whose timing and authenticity remain unconfirmed, and August rumors of declining health were officially denied. Trader focus centers on whether security protocols, health recovery, or institutional preferences will permit a live appearance before key diplomatic or domestic deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$7,094,908
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei has issued only written statements since becoming Iran’s Supreme Leader on March 8, 2026, following the February 28 U.S.-Israeli strike that killed his father Ali Khamenei and left Mojtaba with reported severe facial and leg injuries. He has made no verified public appearance, video, or audio recording in the ensuing six months, including during the July state funeral attended by other senior officials. Iranian authorities cite security threats amid ongoing conflict, while analysts note a more collective decision-making structure with limited personal authority for the new leader. Recent state media releases include undated clips whose timing and authenticity remain unconfirmed, and August rumors of declining health were officially denied. Trader focus centers on whether security protocols, health recovery, or institutional preferences will permit a live appearance before key diplomatic or domestic deadlines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.

Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Volume
$7,094,908
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

icon for Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

27%
icon for Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?

4%
icon for Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

2%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 14 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "December 31" sa 21%, sinusundan ng "October 31" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 21¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 21% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $7.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 9, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?," i-browse ang 14 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay "December 31" sa 21%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 21% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "October 31" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Mojtaba Khamenei pampublikong hitsura sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.