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icon for Quebec General Election: Turnout
Mundo·Canada

Quebec General Election: Turnout

icon for Quebec General Election: Turnout
Mundo·Canada

Quebec General Election: Turnout

66-70% 31%

70-74% 21%

62-66% 20%

<58% 9%

Polymarket
BAGO

66-70% 31%

70-74% 21%

62-66% 20%

<58% 9%

Polymarket
BAGO

<58%

$374 Vol.

9%

58-62%

$100 Vol.

9%

62-66%

$57 Vol.

20%

66-70%

$187 Vol.

31%

70-74%

$117 Vol.

21%

74%+

$233 Vol.

8%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election, featuring a narrow PQ lead in recent Léger and Pallas Data polls alongside viable CAQ, Liberal, Conservative, and Québec solidaire candidacies, underpins trader pricing that centers on 66-70% turnout. Historical provincial averages near 66% provide a baseline, while the fractured seat outlook, ongoing leader debates, and gradual solidification of voter preferences amid a desire for change support modest upside into the 70-74% range. Lower outcomes remain possible if regional mobilization weakens or advance voting fails to offset typical abstention patterns among younger or non-francophone electors. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further influence participation levels before resolution.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,069
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive multi-party contest ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election, featuring a narrow PQ lead in recent Léger and Pallas Data polls alongside viable CAQ, Liberal, Conservative, and Québec solidaire candidacies, underpins trader pricing that centers on 66-70% turnout. Historical provincial averages near 66% provide a baseline, while the fractured seat outlook, ongoing leader debates, and gradual solidification of voter preferences amid a desire for change support modest upside into the 70-74% range. Lower outcomes remain possible if regional mobilization weakens or advance voting fails to offset typical abstention patterns among younger or non-francophone electors. Upcoming debates and final-week campaigning could further influence participation levels before resolution.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,069
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

icon for Mananalo ba ang Parti Québécois ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalang pangkalahatan ng Quebec sa 2026?

Mananalo ba ang Parti Québécois ng pinakamaraming puwesto sa halalang pangkalahatan ng Quebec sa 2026?

75%
Oo
icon for Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?

Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?

63%
icon for Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?

44%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Quebec General Election: Turnout" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "66-70%" sa 31%, sinusundan ng "70-74%" sa 21%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 31¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Quebec General Election: Turnout" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Quebec General Election: Turnout," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Quebec General Election: Turnout" ay "66-70%" sa 31%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 31% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "70-74%" sa 21%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Quebec General Election: Turnout" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.