Recent July ISM Services PMI readings at 54.0–54.1 anchor trader expectations for the August release near the 53–55 range, as the services sector has sustained expansion for 25 consecutive months amid resilient business activity and new orders. Persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and energy prices, coupled with July employment contracting to 47.4, offset gains in supplier deliveries and inventories, keeping the 54.0–54.9 band the plurality outcome at 46.7% implied probability. Flash PMI data showing stronger August services activity reinforces this clustering, while broader labor market softening and inflation concerns tied to mortgage rates limit upside skew. The September 3 release will resolve the market, with sub-50 or 58+ readings remaining low-probability tail events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено54.0–54.9 46.1%
53.0–53.9 23%
52.0–52.9 11.0%
55.0–55.9 10.9%
$46,377 Обс.
$46,377 Обс.
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
11%
51.0–51.9
2%
52.0–52.9
10%
53.0–53.9
23%
54.0–54.9
46%
55.0–55.9
11%
56.0–56.9
4%
57.0–57.9
4%
58.0+
2%
54.0–54.9 46.1%
53.0–53.9 23%
52.0–52.9 11.0%
55.0–55.9 10.9%
$46,377 Обс.
$46,377 Обс.
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
$709 Обс.
1%
50.0–50.9
$785 Обс.
11%
51.0–51.9
$823 Обс.
2%
52.0–52.9
$4,329 Обс.
10%
53.0–53.9
$22,854 Обс.
23%
54.0–54.9
$9,370 Обс.
46%
55.0–55.9
$4,912 Обс.
11%
56.0–56.9
$899 Обс.
4%
57.0–57.9
$888 Обс.
4%
58.0+
$809 Обс.
2%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI readings at 54.0–54.1 anchor trader expectations for the August release near the 53–55 range, as the services sector has sustained expansion for 25 consecutive months amid resilient business activity and new orders. Persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and energy prices, coupled with July employment contracting to 47.4, offset gains in supplier deliveries and inventories, keeping the 54.0–54.9 band the plurality outcome at 46.7% implied probability. Flash PMI data showing stronger August services activity reinforces this clustering, while broader labor market softening and inflation concerns tied to mortgage rates limit upside skew. The September 3 release will resolve the market, with sub-50 or 58+ readings remaining low-probability tail events.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$46,377Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETThis is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI readings at 54.0–54.1 anchor trader expectations for the August release near the 53–55 range, as the services sector has sustained expansion for 25 consecutive months amid resilient business activity and new orders. Persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and energy prices, coupled with July employment contracting to 47.4, offset gains in supplier deliveries and inventories, keeping the 54.0–54.9 band the plurality outcome at 46.7% implied probability. Flash PMI data showing stronger August services activity reinforces this clustering, while broader labor market softening and inflation concerns tied to mortgage rates limit upside skew. The September 3 release will resolve the market, with sub-50 or 58+ readings remaining low-probability tail events.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$46,377Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETRecent July ISM Services PMI readings at 54.0–54.1 anchor trader expectations for the August release near the 53–55 range, as the services sector has sustained expansion for 25 consecutive months amid resilient business activity and new orders. Persistent input cost pressures from tariffs and energy prices, coupled with July employment contracting to 47.4, offset gains in supplier deliveries and inventories, keeping the 54.0–54.9 band the plurality outcome at 46.7% implied probability. Flash PMI data showing stronger August services activity reinforces this clustering, while broader labor market softening and inflation concerns tied to mortgage rates limit upside skew. The September 3 release will resolve the market, with sub-50 or 58+ readings remaining low-probability tail events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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