Exceptionally low rainfall totals across London in August 2026 have driven overwhelming market consensus toward the sub-30 mm outcome. Official station records show just 12 mm accumulated for the month—only 23% of the 52 mm climatological average—reflecting persistently dry anticyclonic conditions, minimal frontal activity, and limited convective showers. This aligns with historical dry analogs such as 1995. With the month concluding on August 31, final verification by Met Office or equivalent networks is the primary remaining factor; measurement revisions or localized station discrepancies could theoretically shift totals modestly, though current data indicate such changes are unlikely to exceed the 30 mm threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPrecipitation in London in August?
<30mm 94%
30-40mm 16.0%
70-80mm 13.7%
80mm+ 2.8%
$10,509 Обс.
$10,509 Обс.
<30mm
94%
30-40mm
16%
40-50mm
6%
50-60mm
1%
60-70mm
<1%
70-80mm
7%
80mm+
3%
<30mm 94%
30-40mm 16.0%
70-80mm 13.7%
80mm+ 2.8%
$10,509 Обс.
$10,509 Обс.
<30mm
94%
30-40mm
16%
40-50mm
6%
50-60mm
1%
60-70mm
<1%
70-80mm
7%
80mm+
3%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 2:06 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for August 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of August 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Exceptionally low rainfall totals across London in August 2026 have driven overwhelming market consensus toward the sub-30 mm outcome. Official station records show just 12 mm accumulated for the month—only 23% of the 52 mm climatological average—reflecting persistently dry anticyclonic conditions, minimal frontal activity, and limited convective showers. This aligns with historical dry analogs such as 1995. With the month concluding on August 31, final verification by Met Office or equivalent networks is the primary remaining factor; measurement revisions or localized station discrepancies could theoretically shift totals modestly, though current data indicate such changes are unlikely to exceed the 30 mm threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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