Lula's commanding 95% implied probability for first place in Pará reflects consistent polling leads in the state, including recent Quaest and Atlas surveys showing the incumbent president ahead by double digits over Flávio Bolsonaro and far ahead of the fragmented field of other candidates. As the sitting PT leader seeking re-election, Lula benefits from established voter bases in northern Brazil ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The low odds for challengers such as Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others signal limited momentum shifts so far. Potential challenges include swings among the sizable undecided bloc, regional economic developments, or stronger opposition consolidation in the final weeks of campaigning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.3%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$17,026 KL.
$17,026 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Samara
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 95%
Flavio Bolsonaro 4.3%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
$17,026 KL.
$17,026 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$8,102 KL.
95%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,205 KL.
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$546 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$574 KL.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$1,280 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$762 KL.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$574 KL.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$633 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$575 KL.
<1%
Samara
$689 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$490 KL.
<1%
Renan Santos
$608 KL.
<1%
Zema
$989 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding 95% implied probability for first place in Pará reflects consistent polling leads in the state, including recent Quaest and Atlas surveys showing the incumbent president ahead by double digits over Flávio Bolsonaro and far ahead of the fragmented field of other candidates. As the sitting PT leader seeking re-election, Lula benefits from established voter bases in northern Brazil ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The low odds for challengers such as Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others signal limited momentum shifts so far. Potential challenges include swings among the sizable undecided bloc, regional economic developments, or stronger opposition consolidation in the final weeks of campaigning.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,026Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula's commanding 95% implied probability for first place in Pará reflects consistent polling leads in the state, including recent Quaest and Atlas surveys showing the incumbent president ahead by double digits over Flávio Bolsonaro and far ahead of the fragmented field of other candidates. As the sitting PT leader seeking re-election, Lula benefits from established voter bases in northern Brazil ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The low odds for challengers such as Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others signal limited momentum shifts so far. Potential challenges include swings among the sizable undecided bloc, regional economic developments, or stronger opposition consolidation in the final weeks of campaigning.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pará, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pará.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pará. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$17,026Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:32 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Lula's commanding 95% implied probability for first place in Pará reflects consistent polling leads in the state, including recent Quaest and Atlas surveys showing the incumbent president ahead by double digits over Flávio Bolsonaro and far ahead of the fragmented field of other candidates. As the sitting PT leader seeking re-election, Lula benefits from established voter bases in northern Brazil ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The low odds for challengers such as Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and others signal limited momentum shifts so far. Potential challenges include swings among the sizable undecided bloc, regional economic developments, or stronger opposition consolidation in the final weeks of campaigning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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