Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest due to her high name recognition as a five-time former mayor of Boa Vista and prior gubernatorial candidate. Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September placed her ahead of the field for the top seat, with support in the 19-26% range, ahead of PL deputy Nicoletti and PSD’s Helena da Asatur. The presence of two PL candidates—Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro—appears to split right-leaning votes, while lower-polling or lesser-known contenders trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining until the vote for the two available seats, Surita’s established local profile and poll lead underpin her elevated market price relative to the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTeresa Surita 59%
Nicoletti 39.9%
Helio Bolsonaro 7.1%
Helena da Asatur 4.9%
$54,560 KL.
$54,560 KL.

Teresa Surita
59%

Nicoletti
35%

Helio Bolsonaro
9%

Helena da Asatur
5%

Chico Rodrigues
1%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%
Teresa Surita 59%
Nicoletti 39.9%
Helio Bolsonaro 7.1%
Helena da Asatur 4.9%
$54,560 KL.
$54,560 KL.

Teresa Surita
59%

Nicoletti
35%

Helio Bolsonaro
9%

Helena da Asatur
5%

Chico Rodrigues
1%

Bartô Macuxi
<1%

Hilton Xavier
<1%

Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%

Márcio Junqueira
<1%

Mario Rocha
<1%

Pastor Isamar
<1%

Regina Tio Ivo
<1%

Rogério Miranda
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the strongest position in trader consensus for first place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate contest due to her high name recognition as a five-time former mayor of Boa Vista and prior gubernatorial candidate. Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September placed her ahead of the field for the top seat, with support in the 19-26% range, ahead of PL deputy Nicoletti and PSD’s Helena da Asatur. The presence of two PL candidates—Nicoletti and Hélio Bolsonaro—appears to split right-leaning votes, while lower-polling or lesser-known contenders trail further behind. With roughly three weeks remaining until the vote for the two available seats, Surita’s established local profile and poll lead underpin her elevated market price relative to the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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