The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD), with recent Quaest polling showing them clustered within the margin of error at 17-19% in combined two-vote estimates and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. The dual-ballot system, a fragmented field of 13 candidates, and voters’ ability to split choices across parties sustain volatility, as modest shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided support can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these frontrunners’ name recognition and institutional backing while assigning low probability to Chico Rodrigues and others, underscoring how late-campaign alliances, regional mobilization, or further polling releases could widen gaps before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNicoletti 44.9%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.1%
$62,125 KL.
$62,125 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
45%
Teresa Surita
25%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.9%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.1%
$62,125 KL.
$62,125 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$10,916 KL.
45%
Teresa Surita
$18,483 KL.
25%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 KL.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 KL.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 KL.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 KL.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$768 KL.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 KL.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 KL.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 KL.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 KL.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 KL.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD), with recent Quaest polling showing them clustered within the margin of error at 17-19% in combined two-vote estimates and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. The dual-ballot system, a fragmented field of 13 candidates, and voters’ ability to split choices across parties sustain volatility, as modest shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided support can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these frontrunners’ name recognition and institutional backing while assigning low probability to Chico Rodrigues and others, underscoring how late-campaign alliances, regional mobilization, or further polling releases could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$62,125Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD), with recent Quaest polling showing them clustered within the margin of error at 17-19% in combined two-vote estimates and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. The dual-ballot system, a fragmented field of 13 candidates, and voters’ ability to split choices across parties sustain volatility, as modest shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided support can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these frontrunners’ name recognition and institutional backing while assigning low probability to Chico Rodrigues and others, underscoring how late-campaign alliances, regional mobilization, or further polling releases could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$62,125Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election remains tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Teresa Surita (MDB), and Helena da Asatur (PSD), with recent Quaest polling showing them clustered within the margin of error at 17-19% in combined two-vote estimates and 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. The dual-ballot system, a fragmented field of 13 candidates, and voters’ ability to split choices across parties sustain volatility, as modest shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided support can reorder the ranking behind the likely leader. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these frontrunners’ name recognition and institutional backing while assigning low probability to Chico Rodrigues and others, underscoring how late-campaign alliances, regional mobilization, or further polling releases could widen gaps before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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