Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMarcelo Crivella 30.9%
Carlos Jordy 24%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Pedro Paulo 12.5%
$41,465 KL.
$41,465 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
31%
Carlos Jordy
24%
Benedita da Silva
16%
Pedro Paulo
13%
Carlos Portinho
6%
Monica Benicio
3%
Waguinho
1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Marcelo Crivella 30.9%
Carlos Jordy 24%
Benedita da Silva 16%
Pedro Paulo 12.5%
$41,465 KL.
$41,465 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcelo Crivella
$3,783 KL.
31%
Carlos Jordy
$7,502 KL.
24%
Benedita da Silva
$7,067 KL.
16%
Pedro Paulo
$6,831 KL.
13%
Carlos Portinho
$5,037 KL.
6%
Monica Benicio
$1,948 KL.
3%
Waguinho
$1,215 KL.
1%
André Monteiro
$2,174 KL.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,138 KL.
<1%
Helio Secco
$1,118 KL.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$794 KL.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 KL.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 KL.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 KL.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 KL.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,465Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$41,465Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August show a fragmented field for Rio de Janeiro's two Senate seats, with Benedita da Silva (PT) leading overall while Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Carlos Jordy (PL), Carlos Portinho (PL), Monica Benicio (PSOL), and Pedro Paulo (PSD) remain tightly bunched behind in technical ties within margins of error. High undecided and blank/null shares near 57% in Quaest surveys, combined with voters selecting up to two names, sustain uncertainty over final ordering. The right's multiple contenders from PL and Republicanos split support, while left and center options create further volatility. Trader pricing for second place reflects these polling patterns and the absence of decisive late shifts, with separation likely hinging on turnout among swing voters or any last-minute endorsements ahead of the October 4 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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