In the Minas Gerais Senate election for second place, trader consensus shows a tightly balanced contest among Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, Aécio Neves, and Marília Campos, with implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to 30s percent range. This closeness stems from competitive dynamics including regional voter bases across the state, shifting party coalitions ahead of the October vote, and limited differentiation in recent polling trends. Historical patterns of incumbency advantages and swing municipal turnout further sustain uncertainty. Scheduled debates, official endorsements, or late polling shifts within the resolution window could separate the field by clarifying paths to the runner-up position.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCarlos Viana 31%
Domingos Sávio 27.7%
Aécio Neves 24.4%
Marília Campos 19%
$36,892 KL.
$36,892 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Viana
31%
Domingos Sávio
28%
Aécio Neves
24%
Marília Campos
19%
Marcelo Aro
2%
Áurea Carolina
1%
Marco Antônio Superman
<1%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Carlos Viana 31%
Domingos Sávio 27.7%
Aécio Neves 24.4%
Marília Campos 19%
$36,892 KL.
$36,892 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Viana
$12,048 KL.
31%
Domingos Sávio
$4,082 KL.
28%
Aécio Neves
$2,316 KL.
24%
Marília Campos
$7,302 KL.
19%
Marcelo Aro
$1,469 KL.
2%
Áurea Carolina
$1,546 KL.
1%
Marco Antônio Superman
$1,323 KL.
<1%
Marcelo Heringer
$581 KL.
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$692 KL.
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$555 KL.
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$458 KL.
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
$594 KL.
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
$705 KL.
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$549 KL.
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
$825 KL.
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
$559 KL.
<1%
Tião Pessoa
$584 KL.
<1%
Carlin Moura
$703 KL.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate election for second place, trader consensus shows a tightly balanced contest among Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, Aécio Neves, and Marília Campos, with implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to 30s percent range. This closeness stems from competitive dynamics including regional voter bases across the state, shifting party coalitions ahead of the October vote, and limited differentiation in recent polling trends. Historical patterns of incumbency advantages and swing municipal turnout further sustain uncertainty. Scheduled debates, official endorsements, or late polling shifts within the resolution window could separate the field by clarifying paths to the runner-up position.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,892Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate election for second place, trader consensus shows a tightly balanced contest among Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, Aécio Neves, and Marília Campos, with implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to 30s percent range. This closeness stems from competitive dynamics including regional voter bases across the state, shifting party coalitions ahead of the October vote, and limited differentiation in recent polling trends. Historical patterns of incumbency advantages and swing municipal turnout further sustain uncertainty. Scheduled debates, official endorsements, or late polling shifts within the resolution window could separate the field by clarifying paths to the runner-up position.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$36,892Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...In the Minas Gerais Senate election for second place, trader consensus shows a tightly balanced contest among Carlos Viana, Domingos Sávio, Aécio Neves, and Marília Campos, with implied probabilities clustered in the low-to-mid 20s to 30s percent range. This closeness stems from competitive dynamics including regional voter bases across the state, shifting party coalitions ahead of the October vote, and limited differentiation in recent polling trends. Historical patterns of incumbency advantages and swing municipal turnout further sustain uncertainty. Scheduled debates, official endorsements, or late polling shifts within the resolution window could separate the field by clarifying paths to the runner-up position.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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