Late August atmospheric conditions over central Poland have supported maximum temperatures reaching or exceeding 27°C in Warsaw on August 31, with official forecasts and station data indicating a daytime peak near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where regional highs often approach or surpass this threshold before seasonal cooling accelerates. Market-implied odds near 99.9% for 27°C or higher reflect strong convergence across numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations, leaving minimal uncertainty for resolution. A rapid shift to widespread heavy precipitation or anomalous northerly advection could cap readings below the threshold, though such deviations remain improbable based on current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 31?
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$36,837 KL.
$36,837 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
100%
27°C or higher 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$36,837 KL.
$36,837 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
17°C or below
$251 KL.
<1%
18°C
$254 KL.
<1%
19°C
$351 KL.
<1%
20°C
$351 KL.
<1%
21°C
$215 KL.
<1%
22°C
$701 KL.
<1%
23°C
$658 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,071 KL.
<1%
25°C
$2,980 KL.
<1%
26°C
$5,270 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$24,735 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August atmospheric conditions over central Poland have supported maximum temperatures reaching or exceeding 27°C in Warsaw on August 31, with official forecasts and station data indicating a daytime peak near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where regional highs often approach or surpass this threshold before seasonal cooling accelerates. Market-implied odds near 99.9% for 27°C or higher reflect strong convergence across numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations, leaving minimal uncertainty for resolution. A rapid shift to widespread heavy precipitation or anomalous northerly advection could cap readings below the threshold, though such deviations remain improbable based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,837Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late August atmospheric conditions over central Poland have supported maximum temperatures reaching or exceeding 27°C in Warsaw on August 31, with official forecasts and station data indicating a daytime peak near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where regional highs often approach or surpass this threshold before seasonal cooling accelerates. Market-implied odds near 99.9% for 27°C or higher reflect strong convergence across numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations, leaving minimal uncertainty for resolution. A rapid shift to widespread heavy precipitation or anomalous northerly advection could cap readings below the threshold, though such deviations remain improbable based on current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$36,837Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Late August atmospheric conditions over central Poland have supported maximum temperatures reaching or exceeding 27°C in Warsaw on August 31, with official forecasts and station data indicating a daytime peak near 25–27°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for the period, where regional highs often approach or surpass this threshold before seasonal cooling accelerates. Market-implied odds near 99.9% for 27°C or higher reflect strong convergence across numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations, leaving minimal uncertainty for resolution. A rapid shift to widespread heavy precipitation or anomalous northerly advection could cap readings below the threshold, though such deviations remain improbable based on current guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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