**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1, 2026, centers on 22–23°C as the most likely overnight minimum, with market-implied odds of 61.5% for 23°C, 27% for 22°C, and 13% for 24°C.** This narrow range reflects the strong consensus in short-term numerical weather prediction models that persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90–100%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including global and regional models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C through the night, with the daily minimum unlikely to drop below ~22°C or exceed ~24°C under these stable, moist conditions. Climatologically, early-September minimums in Incheon average near 21–22°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by overcast skies and precipitation—has raised the floor relative to clearer-sky scenarios. Proximity to resolution (within ~24 hours) means updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration or refined model runs will drive any final shifts, though the current setup favors the 22–23°C band as the highest-probability outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1?
27°C 91.1%
20°C 80%
23°C 47%
19°C 45.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
39%
19°C
45%
20°C
80%
21°C
-
22°C
23%
23°C
66%
24°C
35%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
91%
28°C or higher
<1%
27°C 91.1%
20°C 80%
23°C 47%
19°C 45.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
18°C or below
$315 KL.
39%
19°C
$388 KL.
45%
20°C
$325 KL.
80%
21°C
$241 KL.
-
22°C
$934 KL.
23%
23°C
$800 KL.
66%
24°C
$759 KL.
35%
25°C
$220 KL.
<1%
26°C
$169 KL.
<1%
27°C
$884 KL.
91%
28°C or higher
$169 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1, 2026, centers on 22–23°C as the most likely overnight minimum, with market-implied odds of 61.5% for 23°C, 27% for 22°C, and 13% for 24°C.**
This narrow range reflects the strong consensus in short-term numerical weather prediction models that persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90–100%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including global and regional models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C through the night, with the daily minimum unlikely to drop below ~22°C or exceed ~24°C under these stable, moist conditions.
Climatologically, early-September minimums in Incheon average near 21–22°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by overcast skies and precipitation—has raised the floor relative to clearer-sky scenarios. Proximity to resolution (within ~24 hours) means updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration or refined model runs will drive any final shifts, though the current setup favors the 22–23°C band as the highest-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,204Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1, 2026, centers on 22–23°C as the most likely overnight minimum, with market-implied odds of 61.5% for 23°C, 27% for 22°C, and 13% for 24°C.**
This narrow range reflects the strong consensus in short-term numerical weather prediction models that persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90–100%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including global and regional models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C through the night, with the daily minimum unlikely to drop below ~22°C or exceed ~24°C under these stable, moist conditions.
Climatologically, early-September minimums in Incheon average near 21–22°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by overcast skies and precipitation—has raised the floor relative to clearer-sky scenarios. Proximity to resolution (within ~24 hours) means updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration or refined model runs will drive any final shifts, though the current setup favors the 22–23°C band as the highest-probability outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$5,204Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 1, 2026, centers on 22–23°C as the most likely overnight minimum, with market-implied odds of 61.5% for 23°C, 27% for 22°C, and 13% for 24°C.** This narrow range reflects the strong consensus in short-term numerical weather prediction models that persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90–100%, and widespread rain or thunderstorms will limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including global and regional models show temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C through the night, with the daily minimum unlikely to drop below ~22°C or exceed ~24°C under these stable, moist conditions. Climatologically, early-September minimums in Incheon average near 21–22°C, but the current synoptic pattern—marked by overcast skies and precipitation—has raised the floor relative to clearer-sky scenarios. Proximity to resolution (within ~24 hours) means updates from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration or refined model runs will drive any final shifts, though the current setup favors the 22–23°C band as the highest-probability outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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