Kelly Morrison’s incumbency in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection on November 3. The western Twin Cities suburbs carry a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Morrison ran unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a close primary contest. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or district-altering events have emerged in the weeks since the primaries. A late national political realignment, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, yet structural factors continue to support the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$24,990 KL.
$24,990 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
5%
$24,990 KL.
$24,990 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Kelly Morrison (D)
$12,428 KL.
95%
Tyler Bass (R)
$12,563 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison’s incumbency in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection on November 3. The western Twin Cities suburbs carry a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Morrison ran unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a close primary contest. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or district-altering events have emerged in the weeks since the primaries. A late national political realignment, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, yet structural factors continue to support the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24,990Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison’s incumbency in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection on November 3. The western Twin Cities suburbs carry a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Morrison ran unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a close primary contest. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or district-altering events have emerged in the weeks since the primaries. A late national political realignment, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, yet structural factors continue to support the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$24,990Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison’s incumbency in Minnesota’s 3rd Congressional District anchors trader consensus at 94.5% for her reelection on November 3. The western Twin Cities suburbs carry a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in her 2024 victory and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Morrison ran unopposed in the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a close primary contest. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or district-altering events have emerged in the weeks since the primaries. A late national political realignment, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, yet structural factors continue to support the current implied probability reflected in market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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