Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured his party's nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, reflecting strong party support in Missouri's rural southeastern district. The area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Smith's 76% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus for his general election victory on November 3. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who prevailed narrowly in his primary, faces structural challenges in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-08 House Election Winner
MO-08 House Election Winner
$46,136 KL.
$46,136 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jason Smith (R)
96%
Chris Reichard (D)
3%
$46,136 KL.
$46,136 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Jason Smith (R)
$27,583 KL.
96%
Chris Reichard (D)
$18,553 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured his party's nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, reflecting strong party support in Missouri's rural southeastern district. The area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Smith's 76% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus for his general election victory on November 3. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who prevailed narrowly in his primary, faces structural challenges in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$46,136Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured his party's nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, reflecting strong party support in Missouri's rural southeastern district. The area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Smith's 76% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus for his general election victory on November 3. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who prevailed narrowly in his primary, faces structural challenges in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$46,136Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jason Smith secured his party's nomination with 86% in the August 4 primary, reflecting strong party support in Missouri's rural southeastern district. The area's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Smith's 76% margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus for his general election victory on November 3. Democratic nominee Chris Reichard, who prevailed narrowly in his primary, faces structural challenges in a district rated safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or significant national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though no such factors have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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