Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the market’s 93.5% implied probability for her victory. Her comfortable Democratic primary win on June 9, combined with consistent past performance in this Las Vegas-area swing seat and a substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic, citing the district’s modest partisan lean and Lee’s incumbency advantages. Martin O’Donnell’s Republican primary victory and self-funded campaign have not shifted the pricing, though scenarios such as strong gubernatorial coattails or an unusually favorable national environment could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
93%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Susie Lee (D)
$4,348 KL.
93%
Martin O'Donnell (R)
$2,124 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the market’s 93.5% implied probability for her victory. Her comfortable Democratic primary win on June 9, combined with consistent past performance in this Las Vegas-area swing seat and a substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic, citing the district’s modest partisan lean and Lee’s incumbency advantages. Martin O’Donnell’s Republican primary victory and self-funded campaign have not shifted the pricing, though scenarios such as strong gubernatorial coattails or an unusually favorable national environment could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,472Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the market’s 93.5% implied probability for her victory. Her comfortable Democratic primary win on June 9, combined with consistent past performance in this Las Vegas-area swing seat and a substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic, citing the district’s modest partisan lean and Lee’s incumbency advantages. Martin O’Donnell’s Republican primary victory and self-funded campaign have not shifted the pricing, though scenarios such as strong gubernatorial coattails or an unusually favorable national environment could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$6,472Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Susie Lee holds a commanding position in Nevada’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, as reflected in the market’s 93.5% implied probability for her victory. Her comfortable Democratic primary win on June 9, combined with consistent past performance in this Las Vegas-area swing seat and a substantial fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus. Forecasters rate the race Lean Democratic, citing the district’s modest partisan lean and Lee’s incumbency advantages. Martin O’Donnell’s Republican primary victory and self-funded campaign have not shifted the pricing, though scenarios such as strong gubernatorial coattails or an unusually favorable national environment could narrow the gap in the final weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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