Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 49th congressional district, reflecting the seat's D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Levin secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Armen Kurdian, who received roughly 26 percent amid limited name recognition and fundraising under $60,000. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Levin's established incumbency, multimillion-dollar campaign resources, and the district's coastal Southern California voter base spanning San Diego and Orange counties. Kurdian's path remains narrow absent major national shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-49 House Election Winner
CA-49 House Election Winner
$20,824 KL.
$20,824 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Levin (D)
95%
Armen Kurdian (R)
6%
$20,824 KL.
$20,824 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Levin (D)
$19,297 KL.
95%
Armen Kurdian (R)
$1,527 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 49th congressional district, reflecting the seat's D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Levin secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Armen Kurdian, who received roughly 26 percent amid limited name recognition and fundraising under $60,000. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Levin's established incumbency, multimillion-dollar campaign resources, and the district's coastal Southern California voter base spanning San Diego and Orange counties. Kurdian's path remains narrow absent major national shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$20,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 49th congressional district, reflecting the seat's D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Levin secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Armen Kurdian, who received roughly 26 percent amid limited name recognition and fundraising under $60,000. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Levin's established incumbency, multimillion-dollar campaign resources, and the district's coastal Southern California voter base spanning San Diego and Orange counties. Kurdian's path remains narrow absent major national shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-49 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$20,824Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mike Levin holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 49th congressional district, reflecting the seat's D+7 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Levin secured over 55 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Armen Kurdian, who received roughly 26 percent amid limited name recognition and fundraising under $60,000. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, citing Levin's established incumbency, multimillion-dollar campaign resources, and the district's coastal Southern California voter base spanning San Diego and Orange counties. Kurdian's path remains narrow absent major national shifts, unusually high Republican turnout, or late developments before the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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