**Recent polling for Piura's October 4, 2026 mayoral election shows a fragmented field with Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi (Somos Perú) and Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán (Alianza para el Progreso) as the leading contenders.** August surveys from Luna Consultores, GP Consultores, and others place Cueva and Flores in a tight race for first, typically in the mid-to-high teens, while the remaining candidates trail further back. This distribution aligns with the market's implied probabilities, where no single candidate exceeds low-30s support and the broader field remains dispersed across more than a dozen options. Trader pricing reflects the absence of a decisive frontrunner or late surge, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian municipal races featuring many viable local lists. The contest could shift with final pre-election polling releases, candidate forums, or any official rulings on ballot eligibility before voting day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPiura Mayoral Election Winner
Piura Mayoral Election Winner
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 29%
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 19.2%
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin 6%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 5.4%
$21,710 KL.
$21,710 KL.
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
29%
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
19%
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
6%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
5%
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
5%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
5%
Walther Guerrero Silva
5%
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
4%
José Luis Morey Requejo
4%
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
4%
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
3%
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
3%
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
2%
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
1%
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
6%
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi 29%
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán 19.2%
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin 6%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 5.4%
$21,710 KL.
$21,710 KL.
Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
29%
Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
19%
John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
6%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
5%
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
5%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
5%
Walther Guerrero Silva
5%
Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
4%
José Luis Morey Requejo
4%
Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
4%
Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
3%
Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
3%
Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
2%
Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
1%
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent polling for Piura's October 4, 2026 mayoral election shows a fragmented field with Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi (Somos Perú) and Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán (Alianza para el Progreso) as the leading contenders.** August surveys from Luna Consultores, GP Consultores, and others place Cueva and Flores in a tight race for first, typically in the mid-to-high teens, while the remaining candidates trail further back. This distribution aligns with the market's implied probabilities, where no single candidate exceeds low-30s support and the broader field remains dispersed across more than a dozen options. Trader pricing reflects the absence of a decisive frontrunner or late surge, consistent with historical patterns in Peruvian municipal races featuring many viable local lists. The contest could shift with final pre-election polling releases, candidate forums, or any official rulings on ballot eligibility before voting day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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