Recent polling from mid-to-late August 2026 shows Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar leading municipal surveys for Cusco's October 4 mayoral vote with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, ahead of Sergio Sullca Condori, William Peña Farfán, and a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided voters and vote splitting across parties and regional movements, preventing any contender from approaching a majority. This dynamic, combined with the short campaign window before election day, sustains tight implied probabilities in trader assessments, where shifts in turnout among key districts or late endorsements could alter positioning ahead of the official tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlbert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 42%
Sergio Sullca Condori 20.3%
William Peña Farfán 17%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 8.0%
$21,538 KL.
$21,538 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
42%
Sergio Sullca Condori
20%
William Peña Farfán
17%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
8%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
7%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
6%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
5%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
4%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
3%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
3%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
3%
Federico Huamán Tapara
<1%
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar 42%
Sergio Sullca Condori 20.3%
William Peña Farfán 17%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte 8.0%
$21,538 KL.
$21,538 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar
$13,816 KL.
42%
Sergio Sullca Condori
$196 KL.
20%
William Peña Farfán
$5,872 KL.
17%
Iván Hurtado Villafuerte
$104 KL.
8%
Gabriela Paliza Romero
$104 KL.
7%
Eulogio Tapia Deza
$133 KL.
6%
Delfín Kennedy Quispe Ccalla
$127 KL.
5%
Elizabeth Mónica Nieto Álvarez
$184 KL.
5%
Víctor Vidal Pino Zambrano
$205 KL.
4%
Jesyka Guevara Villanueva
$145 KL.
3%
Eduardo Zans Loayza
$154 KL.
3%
Jorge Rogelio Vargas Febres
$169 KL.
3%
Jorge Luis Segura Ttito
$132 KL.
3%
Federico Huamán Tapara
$201 KL.
<1%
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Recent polling from mid-to-late August 2026 shows Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar leading municipal surveys for Cusco's October 4 mayoral vote with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, ahead of Sergio Sullca Condori, William Peña Farfán, and a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided voters and vote splitting across parties and regional movements, preventing any contender from approaching a majority. This dynamic, combined with the short campaign window before election day, sustains tight implied probabilities in trader assessments, where shifts in turnout among key districts or late endorsements could alter positioning ahead of the official tally.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,538Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).Recent polling from mid-to-late August 2026 shows Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar leading municipal surveys for Cusco's October 4 mayoral vote with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, ahead of Sergio Sullca Condori, William Peña Farfán, and a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided voters and vote splitting across parties and regional movements, preventing any contender from approaching a majority. This dynamic, combined with the short campaign window before election day, sustains tight implied probabilities in trader assessments, where shifts in turnout among key districts or late endorsements could alter positioning ahead of the official tally.
The 2026 Cusco, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Cusco as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Khối lượng
$21,538Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from mid-to-late August 2026 shows Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar leading municipal surveys for Cusco's October 4 mayoral vote with support in the low-to-mid 20s percent range, ahead of Sergio Sullca Condori, William Peña Farfán, and a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided voters and vote splitting across parties and regional movements, preventing any contender from approaching a majority. This dynamic, combined with the short campaign window before election day, sustains tight implied probabilities in trader assessments, where shifts in turnout among key districts or late endorsements could alter positioning ahead of the official tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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