**Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and LocalConditions consistently point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Houston on September 1, 2026, with the minimum temperature most likely falling in the 76–79°F range.** This positions 78–79°F as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, driven by a warm, humid subtropical air mass, light winds, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. Expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in late-summer Gulf Coast patterns—further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface. Recent model runs show high temperatures near 85–95°F during the day but little change in the nocturnal minimum, aligning with climatological norms for early September when average lows hover around 74–76°F. Lower-probability colder outcomes (e.g., 72–73°F or below at ~39–42%) would require clearer skies and stronger northerly flow, while warmer bins (84–85°F+) reflect scenarios with persistent cloudiness or stalled fronts. No major tropical systems or abrupt pattern shifts are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on these stable late-summer conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日休斯敦的最低溫度？
9月1日休斯敦的最低溫度？
84-85°F 88%
82-83°F 85%
74-75°F 83%
72-73華氏度 77%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
華氏71度或以下
46%
72-73華氏度
77%
74-75°F
83%
76-77°F
50%
78-79°F
74%
80-81°F
52%
82-83°F
85%
84-85°F
88%
86-87°F
52%
88-89°F
14%
華氏90度或更高
9%
84-85°F 88%
82-83°F 85%
74-75°F 83%
72-73華氏度 77%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
華氏71度或以下
$74 交易量
46%
72-73華氏度
$69 交易量
77%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
83%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
50%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
74%
80-81°F
$1 交易量
52%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
85%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
88%
86-87°F
$25 交易量
52%
88-89°F
$170 交易量
14%
華氏90度或更高
$20 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and LocalConditions consistently point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Houston on September 1, 2026, with the minimum temperature most likely falling in the 76–79°F range.**
This positions 78–79°F as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, driven by a warm, humid subtropical air mass, light winds, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. Expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in late-summer Gulf Coast patterns—further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface.
Recent model runs show high temperatures near 85–95°F during the day but little change in the nocturnal minimum, aligning with climatological norms for early September when average lows hover around 74–76°F. Lower-probability colder outcomes (e.g., 72–73°F or below at ~39–42%) would require clearer skies and stronger northerly flow, while warmer bins (84–85°F+) reflect scenarios with persistent cloudiness or stalled fronts. No major tropical systems or abrupt pattern shifts are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on these stable late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$360結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and LocalConditions consistently point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Houston on September 1, 2026, with the minimum temperature most likely falling in the 76–79°F range.**
This positions 78–79°F as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, driven by a warm, humid subtropical air mass, light winds, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. Expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in late-summer Gulf Coast patterns—further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface.
Recent model runs show high temperatures near 85–95°F during the day but little change in the nocturnal minimum, aligning with climatological norms for early September when average lows hover around 74–76°F. Lower-probability colder outcomes (e.g., 72–73°F or below at ~39–42%) would require clearer skies and stronger northerly flow, while warmer bins (84–85°F+) reflect scenarios with persistent cloudiness or stalled fronts. No major tropical systems or abrupt pattern shifts are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on these stable late-summer conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$360結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 3:30 AM ET**Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service, WeatherBug, and LocalConditions consistently point to overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s°F for Houston on September 1, 2026, with the minimum temperature most likely falling in the 76–79°F range.** This positions 78–79°F as the leading outcome at 73.5% implied probability, driven by a warm, humid subtropical air mass, light winds, and high dew points that limit radiational cooling overnight. Expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms—common in late-summer Gulf Coast patterns—further moderate temperature drops by trapping heat near the surface. Recent model runs show high temperatures near 85–95°F during the day but little change in the nocturnal minimum, aligning with climatological norms for early September when average lows hover around 74–76°F. Lower-probability colder outcomes (e.g., 72–73°F or below at ~39–42%) would require clearer skies and stronger northerly flow, while warmer bins (84–85°F+) reflect scenarios with persistent cloudiness or stalled fronts. No major tropical systems or abrupt pattern shifts are indicated in the latest guidance, keeping trader focus on these stable late-summer conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions