Recent model runs for Qingdao show overnight lows for September 1 clustered between roughly 18–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values. Northern winds of 8–14 km/h under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will modulate radiative cooling, while near-surface humidity near 70 % and a modest dew-point depression limit how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the scientific range narrow and preventing any single threshold from dominating trader consensus. Updated short-range model output and the first official minimum reading tomorrow morning are the next data points likely to shift positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月1日青島最低氣溫？
9月1日青島最低氣溫？
16°C or below 90%
17°C 48%
25°C 48.0%
21°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
16°C or below
90%
17°C
48%
18°C
-
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
48%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 90%
17°C 48%
25°C 48.0%
21°C 1.9%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
16°C or below
$115 交易量
90%
17°C
$64 交易量
48%
18°C
$12 交易量
-
19°C
$35 交易量
1%
20°C
$213 交易量
1%
21°C
$262 交易量
2%
22°C
$55 交易量
2%
23°C
$20 交易量
2%
24°C
$40 交易量
2%
25°C
$361 交易量
48%
26°C or higher
$120 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Qingdao show overnight lows for September 1 clustered between roughly 18–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values. Northern winds of 8–14 km/h under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will modulate radiative cooling, while near-surface humidity near 70 % and a modest dew-point depression limit how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the scientific range narrow and preventing any single threshold from dominating trader consensus. Updated short-range model output and the first official minimum reading tomorrow morning are the next data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$1,297結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Qingdao show overnight lows for September 1 clustered between roughly 18–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values. Northern winds of 8–14 km/h under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will modulate radiative cooling, while near-surface humidity near 70 % and a modest dew-point depression limit how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the scientific range narrow and preventing any single threshold from dominating trader consensus. Updated short-range model output and the first official minimum reading tomorrow morning are the next data points likely to shift positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,297結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent model runs for Qingdao show overnight lows for September 1 clustered between roughly 18–23 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those values. Northern winds of 8–14 km/h under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will modulate radiative cooling, while near-surface humidity near 70 % and a modest dew-point depression limit how far temperatures can fall. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the scientific range narrow and preventing any single threshold from dominating trader consensus. Updated short-range model output and the first official minimum reading tomorrow morning are the next data points likely to shift positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions