Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in the CA-10 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent partisan lean. In the June 2026 top-two primary, he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote while Republican challengers split their support, allowing Jeff Frese to advance with about 13 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive polling. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$26,535 交易量
$26,535 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·德索尔尼耶（民主党）
97%
杰夫·弗雷斯（共和党）
3%
$26,535 交易量
$26,535 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·德索尔尼耶（民主党）
$13,622 交易量
97%
杰夫·弗雷斯（共和党）
$12,913 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in the CA-10 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent partisan lean. In the June 2026 top-two primary, he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote while Republican challengers split their support, allowing Jeff Frese to advance with about 13 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive polling. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$26,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in the CA-10 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent partisan lean. In the June 2026 top-two primary, he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote while Republican challengers split their support, allowing Jeff Frese to advance with about 13 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive polling. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,535结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETMark DeSaulnier holds a commanding position in the CA-10 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district with a strong Democratic registration advantage and consistent partisan lean. In the June 2026 top-two primary, he secured nearly 60 percent of the vote while Republican challengers split their support, allowing Jeff Frese to advance with about 13 percent. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive polling. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen events in the final weeks before the November 3 contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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