Recent July 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation at 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by gasoline prices amid U.S.-Iran tensions and elevated travel costs tied to the FIFA World Cup. Core measures remained anchored near the Bank of Canada’s 2% target, with trimmed-mean and median readings at 1.9% and 2.0%. The central bank has held its overnight rate at 2.25% since earlier in the year, signaling confidence that energy-driven spikes will prove transitory while economic growth supports a gradual return toward the target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome for 2026 reflects these dynamics and expectations for moderation through year-end, though persistent geopolitical risks and upcoming August CPI data due September 14 introduce uncertainty around the precise path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 41.0%
3.5-3.9% 21.2%
3.0-3.4% 18.3%
4.0%及以上 10.5%
$39,491 交易量
$39,491 交易量
低于1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
9%
2.5–2.9%
41%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
21%
4.0%及以上
10%
2.5–2.9% 41.0%
3.5-3.9% 21.2%
3.0-3.4% 18.3%
4.0%及以上 10.5%
$39,491 交易量
$39,491 交易量
低于1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
9%
2.5–2.9%
41%
3.0-3.4%
18%
3.5-3.9%
21%
4.0%及以上
10%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市场开放时间: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Recent July 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation at 3.0% year-over-year, up from 2.8% in June, driven primarily by gasoline prices amid U.S.-Iran tensions and elevated travel costs tied to the FIFA World Cup. Core measures remained anchored near the Bank of Canada’s 2% target, with trimmed-mean and median readings at 1.9% and 2.0%. The central bank has held its overnight rate at 2.25% since earlier in the year, signaling confidence that energy-driven spikes will prove transitory while economic growth supports a gradual return toward the target. Trader consensus favoring the 2.5–2.9% annual outcome for 2026 reflects these dynamics and expectations for moderation through year-end, though persistent geopolitical risks and upcoming August CPI data due September 14 introduce uncertainty around the precise path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题