The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 交易量
$56,989 交易量
2026-09-03
<50.0
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
No
55.0–55.9
Yes
56.0–56.9
No
57.0–57.9
No
58.0+
No
55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 交易量
$56,989 交易量
2026-09-03
<50.0
$817 交易量
No
50.0–50.9
$866 交易量
No
51.0–51.9
$1,028 交易量
No
52.0–52.9
$4,575 交易量
No
53.0–53.9
$26,972 交易量
No
54.0–54.9
$13,189 交易量
No
55.0–55.9
$6,339 交易量
Yes
56.0–56.9
$1,097 交易量
No
57.0–57.9
$1,057 交易量
No
58.0+
$1,048 交易量
No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
交易量
$56,989结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$56,989结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题