Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, combined with Markey's long tenure and primary endorsements from progressive figures, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. Polling averages show Markey ahead by approximately 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins in Senate contests. John Deaton, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 challenger to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, has focused on personal background and policy contrasts but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent federal races. Scenarios such as major health developments or unforeseen national shifts could still influence outcomes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$48,346 交易量
$48,346 交易量
2026-11-02
埃德·马基（民主党）
98%
约翰·迪顿（共和党）
2%
$48,346 交易量
$48,346 交易量
2026-11-02
埃德·马基（民主党）
$35,260 交易量
98%
约翰·迪顿（共和党）
$13,095 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, combined with Markey's long tenure and primary endorsements from progressive figures, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. Polling averages show Markey ahead by approximately 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins in Senate contests. John Deaton, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 challenger to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, has focused on personal background and policy contrasts but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent federal races. Scenarios such as major health developments or unforeseen national shifts could still influence outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$48,346结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, combined with Markey's long tenure and primary endorsements from progressive figures, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. Polling averages show Markey ahead by approximately 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins in Senate contests. John Deaton, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 challenger to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, has focused on personal background and policy contrasts but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent federal races. Scenarios such as major health developments or unforeseen national shifts could still influence outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$48,346结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETIncumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, reinforcing his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns, combined with Markey's long tenure and primary endorsements from progressive figures, underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. Polling averages show Markey ahead by approximately 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins in Senate contests. John Deaton, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 challenger to Sen. Elizabeth Warren, has focused on personal background and policy contrasts but faces structural barriers in a state where Democrats have dominated recent federal races. Scenarios such as major health developments or unforeseen national shifts could still influence outcomes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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