Ülle Madise’s commanding 96.7% market price reflects her status as the sole registered candidate for Estonia’s September 2, 2026 presidential vote in the Riigikogu, backed by 75 MPs from Reform, SDE, Estonia 200, and Isamaa. Incumbent Alar Karis ruled out a second term, clearing the path for the long-serving Chancellor of Justice, whose constitutional expertise and cross-party appeal produced the two-thirds majority needed for election in parliament. Public polling showed her comfortably ahead of alternatives such as Mart Helme or Tiit Land. Traders assign only marginal odds to other listed names because none secured the 21 signatures required for nomination. An upset would require a sudden collapse in pledged support on the floor, an outcome the current parliamentary arithmetic and recent party statements render highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Ülle Madise 96.9%
汉内斯·汉索 1.0%
乔纳坦·维塞维奥夫 <1%
印德雷克·劳尔 <1%
$50,666 交易量
$50,666 交易量
Ülle Madise
97%
汉内斯·汉索
1%
乔纳坦·维塞维奥夫
1%
印德雷克·劳尔
1%
Maive Rute
<1%
里霍·于赫特吉
<1%
Riina Kionka
<1%
马特·赫尔梅
<1%
印德雷克·塔兰德
<1%
Ülle Madise 96.9%
汉内斯·汉索 1.0%
乔纳坦·维塞维奥夫 <1%
印德雷克·劳尔 <1%
$50,666 交易量
$50,666 交易量
Ülle Madise
97%
汉内斯·汉索
1%
乔纳坦·维塞维奥夫
1%
印德雷克·劳尔
1%
Maive Rute
<1%
里霍·于赫特吉
<1%
Riina Kionka
<1%
马特·赫尔梅
<1%
印德雷克·塔兰德
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of Estonia by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in as President of Estonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President takes office by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Estonia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ülle Madise’s commanding 96.7% market price reflects her status as the sole registered candidate for Estonia’s September 2, 2026 presidential vote in the Riigikogu, backed by 75 MPs from Reform, SDE, Estonia 200, and Isamaa. Incumbent Alar Karis ruled out a second term, clearing the path for the long-serving Chancellor of Justice, whose constitutional expertise and cross-party appeal produced the two-thirds majority needed for election in parliament. Public polling showed her comfortably ahead of alternatives such as Mart Helme or Tiit Land. Traders assign only marginal odds to other listed names because none secured the 21 signatures required for nomination. An upset would require a sudden collapse in pledged support on the floor, an outcome the current parliamentary arithmetic and recent party statements render highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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