Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polling for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, leaving the second-place finish tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB). The fragmented field, dual-vote requirement, and persistently high undecided share (often exceeding 60 percent) have kept second-place probabilities clustered, as voters split support across local incumbents, party alliances, and name recognition. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show these contenders within a narrow band, with small shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided voters able to reorder the ranking. Late endorsements, coalition adjustments, or regional turnout differences could create separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Nicoletti 45.8%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 4.8%
$62,624 交易量
$62,624 交易量
2026-10-04
Nicoletti
46%
Teresa Surita
25%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 45.8%
Teresa Surita 25%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 4.8%
$62,624 交易量
$62,624 交易量
2026-10-04
Nicoletti
$11,204 交易量
46%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 交易量
25%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 交易量
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 交易量
5%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 交易量
5%
Pastor Isamar
$952 交易量
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 交易量
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 交易量
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 交易量
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 交易量
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 交易量
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 交易量
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polling for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, leaving the second-place finish tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB). The fragmented field, dual-vote requirement, and persistently high undecided share (often exceeding 60 percent) have kept second-place probabilities clustered, as voters split support across local incumbents, party alliances, and name recognition. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show these contenders within a narrow band, with small shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided voters able to reorder the ranking. Late endorsements, coalition adjustments, or regional turnout differences could create separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
交易量
$62,624结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polling for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, leaving the second-place finish tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB). The fragmented field, dual-vote requirement, and persistently high undecided share (often exceeding 60 percent) have kept second-place probabilities clustered, as voters split support across local incumbents, party alliances, and name recognition. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show these contenders within a narrow band, with small shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided voters able to reorder the ranking. Late endorsements, coalition adjustments, or regional turnout differences could create separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$62,624结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETTeresa Surita (MDB) leads recent polling for Roraima’s two Senate seats on October 4, leaving the second-place finish tightly contested among Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Chico Rodrigues (PSB). The fragmented field, dual-vote requirement, and persistently high undecided share (often exceeding 60 percent) have kept second-place probabilities clustered, as voters split support across local incumbents, party alliances, and name recognition. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show these contenders within a narrow band, with small shifts in turnout or consolidation of undecided voters able to reorder the ranking. Late endorsements, coalition adjustments, or regional turnout differences could create separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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