Recent August CPI data holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year, alongside the Cleveland Fed nowcast near 3.43% for September, anchors trader focus on outcomes clustered around 3.4–3.6%. Persistent upward pressures from gasoline and energy price surges—up nearly 4% month-over-month in August amid prior oil supply shocks—combined with tariff pass-through and sticky core services inflation, sustain market-implied odds favoring a modest reacceleration or steady print. Elevated consumer inflation expectations at 4.6% for the year ahead reflect these dynamics, while softer shelter trends and potential energy stabilization introduce downside risks that keep probabilities closely contested ahead of the October 14 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于3.6% 32%
3.5% 31%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.9%
4%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
6%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
5%
3.4%
21%
3.5%
31%
3.6%
30%
3.7%
10%
3.8%
6%
3.9%
1%
≥4.0%
5%
3.6% 32%
3.5% 31%
3.4% 21%
3.7% 10%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤2.9%
$83 交易量
4%
3.0%
$67 交易量
5%
3.1%
$64 交易量
6%
3.2%
$87 交易量
6%
3.3%
$345 交易量
5%
3.4%
$374 交易量
21%
3.5%
$1,009 交易量
31%
3.6%
$491 交易量
30%
3.7%
$286 交易量
10%
3.8%
$27 交易量
6%
3.9%
$288 交易量
1%
≥4.0%
$102 交易量
5%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year, alongside the Cleveland Fed nowcast near 3.43% for September, anchors trader focus on outcomes clustered around 3.4–3.6%. Persistent upward pressures from gasoline and energy price surges—up nearly 4% month-over-month in August amid prior oil supply shocks—combined with tariff pass-through and sticky core services inflation, sustain market-implied odds favoring a modest reacceleration or steady print. Elevated consumer inflation expectations at 4.6% for the year ahead reflect these dynamics, while softer shelter trends and potential energy stabilization introduce downside risks that keep probabilities closely contested ahead of the October 14 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
交易量
$3,225结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETThis is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year, alongside the Cleveland Fed nowcast near 3.43% for September, anchors trader focus on outcomes clustered around 3.4–3.6%. Persistent upward pressures from gasoline and energy price surges—up nearly 4% month-over-month in August amid prior oil supply shocks—combined with tariff pass-through and sticky core services inflation, sustain market-implied odds favoring a modest reacceleration or steady print. Elevated consumer inflation expectations at 4.6% for the year ahead reflect these dynamics, while softer shelter trends and potential energy stabilization introduce downside risks that keep probabilities closely contested ahead of the October 14 release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$3,225结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ETRecent August CPI data holding steady at 3.4% year-over-year, alongside the Cleveland Fed nowcast near 3.43% for September, anchors trader focus on outcomes clustered around 3.4–3.6%. Persistent upward pressures from gasoline and energy price surges—up nearly 4% month-over-month in August amid prior oil supply shocks—combined with tariff pass-through and sticky core services inflation, sustain market-implied odds favoring a modest reacceleration or steady print. Elevated consumer inflation expectations at 4.6% for the year ahead reflect these dynamics, while softer shelter trends and potential energy stabilization introduce downside risks that keep probabilities closely contested ahead of the October 14 release.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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