Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month headline gain and a 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—have anchored trader expectations for September, with energy prices (gasoline up nearly 4%) and persistent shelter costs driving the reacceleration. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 0.4% and 0.5% MoM outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether oil and services momentum will extend or moderate amid seasonal adjustments. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, while broader labor-market resilience and FOMC signals on policy tightening add volatility to the distribution. Upcoming September energy and retail sales releases represent key swing factors that could shift the 33% and 29.5% probabilities on the top two bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.4% 33%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
3%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
5%
0.4%
33%
0.5%
30%
0.6%
18%
0.7%
9%
≥0.8%
5%
0.4% 33%
0.5% 30%
0.6% 18%
0.7% 9%
最新
最新
2026-10-14
≤0.0%
$132 交易量
3%
0.1%
$110 交易量
5%
0.2%
$149 交易量
8%
0.3%
$150 交易量
5%
0.4%
$686 交易量
33%
0.5%
$1,041 交易量
30%
0.6%
$149 交易量
18%
0.7%
$130 交易量
9%
≥0.8%
$746 交易量
5%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month headline gain and a 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—have anchored trader expectations for September, with energy prices (gasoline up nearly 4%) and persistent shelter costs driving the reacceleration. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 0.4% and 0.5% MoM outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether oil and services momentum will extend or moderate amid seasonal adjustments. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, while broader labor-market resilience and FOMC signals on policy tightening add volatility to the distribution. Upcoming September energy and retail sales releases represent key swing factors that could shift the 33% and 29.5% probabilities on the top two bins.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ET
交易量
$3,293结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETThis is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month headline gain and a 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—have anchored trader expectations for September, with energy prices (gasoline up nearly 4%) and persistent shelter costs driving the reacceleration. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 0.4% and 0.5% MoM outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether oil and services momentum will extend or moderate amid seasonal adjustments. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, while broader labor-market resilience and FOMC signals on policy tightening add volatility to the distribution. Upcoming September energy and retail sales releases represent key swing factors that could shift the 33% and 29.5% probabilities on the top two bins.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
交易量
$3,293结束日期
2026-10-15市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 11:28 AM ETRecent August CPI data showing a 0.4% month-over-month headline gain and a 0.3% core increase—both above consensus—have anchored trader expectations for September, with energy prices (gasoline up nearly 4%) and persistent shelter costs driving the reacceleration. Market-implied odds remain closely split between 0.4% and 0.5% MoM outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether oil and services momentum will extend or moderate amid seasonal adjustments. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 0.37% headline growth, while broader labor-market resilience and FOMC signals on policy tightening add volatility to the distribution. Upcoming September energy and retail sales releases represent key swing factors that could shift the 33% and 29.5% probabilities on the top two bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题