The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean from 2025 redistricting and Trump’s 2024 performance, yet a late-August poll showing Democrat Johnny Garcia statistically tied with Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 45-44 percent has kept the race competitive. Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff who prevailed in the May Democratic runoff, benefits from reported Latino voter rebound and Democratic top-of-ticket strength. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who won the Republican runoff with Trump’s endorsement, draws on military and border experience. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, but the polling tightness and modest Democratic momentum explain why traders assign Garcia a narrow 56 percent edge in the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,619 交易量
$13,619 交易量
2026-11-03
约翰尼·加西亚（民主党）
56%
卡洛斯·德拉克鲁斯（共和党）
45%
$13,619 交易量
$13,619 交易量
2026-11-03
约翰尼·加西亚（民主党）
$6,911 交易量
56%
卡洛斯·德拉克鲁斯（共和党）
$6,709 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean from 2025 redistricting and Trump’s 2024 performance, yet a late-August poll showing Democrat Johnny Garcia statistically tied with Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 45-44 percent has kept the race competitive. Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff who prevailed in the May Democratic runoff, benefits from reported Latino voter rebound and Democratic top-of-ticket strength. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who won the Republican runoff with Trump’s endorsement, draws on military and border experience. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, but the polling tightness and modest Democratic momentum explain why traders assign Garcia a narrow 56 percent edge in the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$13,619结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean from 2025 redistricting and Trump’s 2024 performance, yet a late-August poll showing Democrat Johnny Garcia statistically tied with Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 45-44 percent has kept the race competitive. Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff who prevailed in the May Democratic runoff, benefits from reported Latino voter rebound and Democratic top-of-ticket strength. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who won the Republican runoff with Trump’s endorsement, draws on military and border experience. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, but the polling tightness and modest Democratic momentum explain why traders assign Garcia a narrow 56 percent edge in the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,619结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThe redrawn TX-35 district, stretching along the I-35 corridor between Austin and San Antonio, carries a Republican lean from 2025 redistricting and Trump’s 2024 performance, yet a late-August poll showing Democrat Johnny Garcia statistically tied with Republican Carlos De La Cruz at 45-44 percent has kept the race competitive. Garcia, a Bexar County deputy sheriff who prevailed in the May Democratic runoff, benefits from reported Latino voter rebound and Democratic top-of-ticket strength. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who won the Republican runoff with Trump’s endorsement, draws on military and border experience. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, but the polling tightness and modest Democratic momentum explain why traders assign Garcia a narrow 56 percent edge in the current consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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