**Negotiations over U.S. acquisition or expanded control of Greenland have produced limited concrete progress since early 2026, supporting the market's 83% probability that no deal will be signed by December 31.** President Trump renewed interest in Greenland early in the year for national security and critical minerals reasons, threatening tariffs on Denmark and other NATO allies before announcing a vague “framework” with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in January that paused tariffs and ruled out force. Subsequent closed-door talks among U.S., Danish, and Greenlandic officials focused on military access, a potential “forever clause” for U.S. bases, and investment veto rights, but Greenlandic leaders expressed concerns over sovereignty and exclusion from talks. By mid-2026, attention shifted to the Iran conflict, leaving the Greenland file without major breakthroughs or a finalized agreement. Structural barriers remain high, including Danish insistence on territorial integrity, Greenland’s self-governing status, Senate treaty ratification requirements, and substantial fiscal costs. Recent reporting through August shows ongoing interest but no scheduled milestones or announcements indicating imminent resolution before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড16% সম্ভাবনা
$98,593 Vol.
$98,593 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
16% সম্ভাবনা
$98,593 Vol.
$98,593 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Negotiations over U.S. acquisition or expanded control of Greenland have produced limited concrete progress since early 2026, supporting the market's 83% probability that no deal will be signed by December 31.**
President Trump renewed interest in Greenland early in the year for national security and critical minerals reasons, threatening tariffs on Denmark and other NATO allies before announcing a vague “framework” with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in January that paused tariffs and ruled out force. Subsequent closed-door talks among U.S., Danish, and Greenlandic officials focused on military access, a potential “forever clause” for U.S. bases, and investment veto rights, but Greenlandic leaders expressed concerns over sovereignty and exclusion from talks.
By mid-2026, attention shifted to the Iran conflict, leaving the Greenland file without major breakthroughs or a finalized agreement. Structural barriers remain high, including Danish insistence on territorial integrity, Greenland’s self-governing status, Senate treaty ratification requirements, and substantial fiscal costs. Recent reporting through August shows ongoing interest but no scheduled milestones or announcements indicating imminent resolution before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 21, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
ভলিউম
$98,593শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 5:59 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Negotiations over U.S. acquisition or expanded control of Greenland have produced limited concrete progress since early 2026, supporting the market's 83% probability that no deal will be signed by December 31.**
President Trump renewed interest in Greenland early in the year for national security and critical minerals reasons, threatening tariffs on Denmark and other NATO allies before announcing a vague “framework” with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in January that paused tariffs and ruled out force. Subsequent closed-door talks among U.S., Danish, and Greenlandic officials focused on military access, a potential “forever clause” for U.S. bases, and investment veto rights, but Greenlandic leaders expressed concerns over sovereignty and exclusion from talks.
By mid-2026, attention shifted to the Iran conflict, leaving the Greenland file without major breakthroughs or a finalized agreement. Structural barriers remain high, including Danish insistence on territorial integrity, Greenland’s self-governing status, Senate treaty ratification requirements, and substantial fiscal costs. Recent reporting through August shows ongoing interest but no scheduled milestones or announcements indicating imminent resolution before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both Denmark and the United States sign a deal, treaty, or similar international agreement of any kind relating to Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any U.S.–Danish agreement relating to Greenland will qualify, regardless of subject matter, including but not limited to sovereignty, governance, security arrangements, or access to natural resources.
Examples of qualifying deals include but are not limited to a treaty that makes any portion of Greenland a U.S. territory or possession (even if the handover date for such territory or possession is later); or, a Guantánamo-style arrangement treaty establishing a defined zone in Greenland under exclusive or primary U.S. jurisdiction and control, where Denmark and Greenland’s ordinary legal authority does not apply except by U.S. permission; or agreements permitting additional U.S. troop stationing, basing access, or resource extraction rights in Greenland.
This market will resolve to “Yes” only if a qualifying agreement is formally signed by authorized representatives of both Denmark and the United States. Official announcements, statements of intent, or declarations that an agreement has been reached will not suffice unless accompanied by signatures from both sides. Whether or not a qualifying deal is later passed by the respective parliaments or enters into force will not affect this market’s resolution. Signaling from Greenland’s population will not be considered.
Announcements, negotiations, proposals, frameworks, or understandings that are not formally signed by both parties will not qualify. Any qualifying U.S. jurisdiction, control, basing rights, or access arrangements in Greenland that existed at market creation will not count as new qualifying agreements.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$98,593শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 21, 2026, 5:59 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...**Negotiations over U.S. acquisition or expanded control of Greenland have produced limited concrete progress since early 2026, supporting the market's 83% probability that no deal will be signed by December 31.** President Trump renewed interest in Greenland early in the year for national security and critical minerals reasons, threatening tariffs on Denmark and other NATO allies before announcing a vague “framework” with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte in January that paused tariffs and ruled out force. Subsequent closed-door talks among U.S., Danish, and Greenlandic officials focused on military access, a potential “forever clause” for U.S. bases, and investment veto rights, but Greenlandic leaders expressed concerns over sovereignty and exclusion from talks. By mid-2026, attention shifted to the Iran conflict, leaving the Greenland file without major breakthroughs or a finalized agreement. Structural barriers remain high, including Danish insistence on territorial integrity, Greenland’s self-governing status, Senate treaty ratification requirements, and substantial fiscal costs. Recent reporting through August shows ongoing interest but no scheduled milestones or announcements indicating imminent resolution before year-end. Trader pricing reflects these persistent diplomatic and procedural hurdles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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