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icon for Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien

icon for Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien
Politik·Brasilien

Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien

Omar Aziz 66%

Professora Maria do Carmo 19%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.6%

Polymarket

$25,065 Vol.

Omar Aziz 66%

Professora Maria do Carmo 19%

Roberto Cidade 15.8%

Gilberto Vasconcelos 1.6%

Polymarket

$25,065 Vol.

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$8,806 Vol.

66%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$5,295 Vol.

19%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$4,088 Vol.

16%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$1,800 Vol.

2%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$1,492 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$1,860 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$1,725 Vol.

<1%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads trader sentiment in the Amazonas gubernatorial race due to his consistent polling advantage and broad coalition support ahead of the October 4 first round. The PSD senator and former governor secured official nomination in late July through alliances spanning PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, positioning him as the strongest contender with recent surveys showing him at 34% against Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL) near 21% and incumbent Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 22%. Cidade, elected indirectly in May following prior resignations, draws from state administrative resources but trails in head-to-head metrics. Lower probabilities for David Almeida and fringe candidates reflect limited momentum and narrower bases in available data, with the market reflecting trader assessment of Aziz's path through a potential runoff.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,065
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz leads trader sentiment in the Amazonas gubernatorial race due to his consistent polling advantage and broad coalition support ahead of the October 4 first round. The PSD senator and former governor secured official nomination in late July through alliances spanning PSD, MDB, Republicanos, and the PT-led federation, positioning him as the strongest contender with recent surveys showing him at 34% against Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL) near 21% and incumbent Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) at 22%. Cidade, elected indirectly in May following prior resignations, draws from state administrative resources but trails in head-to-head metrics. Lower probabilities for David Almeida and fringe candidates reflect limited momentum and narrower bases in available data, with the market reflecting trader assessment of Aziz's path through a potential runoff.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$25,065
Enddatum
4. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

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Ja
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60%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Omar Aziz" mit 66%, gefolgt von „Professora Maria do Carmo" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $25.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Aug 17, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien" ist „Omar Aziz" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Professora Maria do Carmo" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wahlsieger bei der Gouverneurswahl in Amazonien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.