Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a substantial lead for one of the two Senate seats, with 56% support in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey and 27-43% depending on the first-vote framing in Quaest, far ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Her position benefits from strong name recognition as former first lady of Macapá, her husband’s dominant gubernatorial numbers, and consistent double-digit advantages across demographics in surveys conducted in late August. The two-seat system and voter allowance for multiple choices keep the second spot more competitive, but traders view Furlan’s polling edge and campaign momentum as the dominant factor in her elevated implied probability for first place ahead of the October election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRayssa Furlan 84%
Randolfe 7.4%
Lucas Barreto 5.6%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$27,920 Vol.
$27,920 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Rayssa Furlan
84%
Randolfe
7%
Lucas Barreto
6%
Alliny Serrão
1%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
<1%
Acácio Favacho
<1%
Capi
<1%
Helio Silva
<1%
Juíza Jô
<1%
Rayssa Furlan 84%
Randolfe 7.4%
Lucas Barreto 5.6%
Alliny Serrão <1%
$27,920 Vol.
$27,920 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Rayssa Furlan
$20,856 Vol.
84%
Randolfe
$1,287 Vol.
7%
Lucas Barreto
$1,386 Vol.
6%
Alliny Serrão
$1,038 Vol.
1%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
$887 Vol.
<1%
Acácio Favacho
$541 Vol.
<1%
Capi
$718 Vol.
<1%
Helio Silva
$514 Vol.
<1%
Juíza Jô
$693 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a substantial lead for one of the two Senate seats, with 56% support in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey and 27-43% depending on the first-vote framing in Quaest, far ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Her position benefits from strong name recognition as former first lady of Macapá, her husband’s dominant gubernatorial numbers, and consistent double-digit advantages across demographics in surveys conducted in late August. The two-seat system and voter allowance for multiple choices keep the second spot more competitive, but traders view Furlan’s polling edge and campaign momentum as the dominant factor in her elevated implied probability for first place ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volumen
$27,920Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a substantial lead for one of the two Senate seats, with 56% support in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey and 27-43% depending on the first-vote framing in Quaest, far ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Her position benefits from strong name recognition as former first lady of Macapá, her husband’s dominant gubernatorial numbers, and consistent double-digit advantages across demographics in surveys conducted in late August. The two-seat system and voter allowance for multiple choices keep the second spot more competitive, but traders view Furlan’s polling edge and campaign momentum as the dominant factor in her elevated implied probability for first place ahead of the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$27,920Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a substantial lead for one of the two Senate seats, with 56% support in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey and 27-43% depending on the first-vote framing in Quaest, far ahead of Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Lucas Barreto (PSD). Her position benefits from strong name recognition as former first lady of Macapá, her husband’s dominant gubernatorial numbers, and consistent double-digit advantages across demographics in surveys conducted in late August. The two-seat system and voter allowance for multiple choices keep the second spot more competitive, but traders view Furlan’s polling edge and campaign momentum as the dominant factor in her elevated implied probability for first place ahead of the October election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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