The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLucas Barreto 46%
Randolfe 45%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 3.5%
$16,692 Vol.
$16,692 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Lucas Barreto
46%
Randolfe
45%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Capi
4%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
3%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Juíza Jô
3%
Rayssa Furlan
2%
Helio Silva
1%
Lucas Barreto 46%
Randolfe 45%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 3.5%
$16,692 Vol.
$16,692 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Lucas Barreto
$3,484 Vol.
46%
Randolfe
$8,931 Vol.
45%
Alliny Serrão
$655 Vol.
7%
Capi
$247 Vol.
4%
Profesor Uzian Pinto
$531 Vol.
3%
Acácio Favacho
$492 Vol.
3%
Juíza Jô
$202 Vol.
3%
Rayssa Furlan
$292 Vol.
2%
Helio Silva
$1,860 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volumen
$16,692Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$16,692Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Gana Rayssa Furlan la mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Amapá de 2026?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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