Recent polling from August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate contest for one of two seats at 23-27%, leaving a tight race for second place. Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched in the 13-22% range across Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel surveys, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes between government-aligned and opposition candidates sustain the narrow margins. No major alliance shifts or late-campaign events have yet created separation ahead of the October 4 vote, keeping trader probabilities clustered around the leading contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCapitão Wagner 35%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 1.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Capitão Wagner
35%
Luizianne
27%
Cid Gomes
21%
Alcides Fernandes
2%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 35%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 21%
Alcides Fernandes 1.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 Vol.
35%
Luizianne
$11,623 Vol.
27%
Cid Gomes
$4,910 Vol.
21%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 Vol.
2%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate contest for one of two seats at 23-27%, leaving a tight race for second place. Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched in the 13-22% range across Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel surveys, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes between government-aligned and opposition candidates sustain the narrow margins. No major alliance shifts or late-campaign events have yet created separation ahead of the October 4 vote, keeping trader probabilities clustered around the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volumen
$36,524Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate contest for one of two seats at 23-27%, leaving a tight race for second place. Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched in the 13-22% range across Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel surveys, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes between government-aligned and opposition candidates sustain the narrow margins. No major alliance shifts or late-campaign events have yet created separation ahead of the October 4 vote, keeping trader probabilities clustered around the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$36,524Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from August and early September shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará's Senate contest for one of two seats at 23-27%, leaving a tight race for second place. Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) remain closely matched in the 13-22% range across Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel surveys, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High shares of undecided voters (10-20%) and the ability of electors to split their two votes between government-aligned and opposition candidates sustain the narrow margins. No major alliance shifts or late-campaign events have yet created separation ahead of the October 4 vote, keeping trader probabilities clustered around the leading contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Cid Gomes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Ceará de 2026?
77%
Sí
¿André do Prado obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de São Paulo en 2026?
46%
Sí
¿Obtendrá Humberto Costa la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Pernambuco de 2026?
43%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes