Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place

Lucas Barreto 47%

Randolfe 45%

Alliny Serrão 7%

Capi 3.5%

Polymarket

$16,692 Vol.

Lucas Barreto 47%

Randolfe 45%

Alliny Serrão 7%

Capi 3.5%

Polymarket

$16,692 Vol.

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$3,484 Vol.

47%

icon for Randolfe

Randolfe

$8,931 Vol.

45%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$655 Vol.

7%

icon for Capi

Capi

$247 Vol.

4%

icon for Acácio Favacho

Acácio Favacho

$492 Vol.

3%

icon for Professor Uzian Pinto

Professor Uzian Pinto

$531 Vol.

3%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$202 Vol.

3%

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$292 Vol.

2%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$1,860 Vol.

1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,692
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Amapá’s October 4 Senate election stays closely matched between incumbents Lucas Barreto (PSD) and Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), with market prices reflecting their near parity amid recent polling swings. Multiple surveys from August and September show Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for the first seat, while Barreto and Randolfe trade narrow advantages or statistical ties for the second, with margins often inside the margin of error and sizable shares of undecided or changeable voters. Lower-priced contenders such as Alliny Serrão trail well behind, consistent with their weaker second-vote support in the same data. Late shifts in turnout among key blocs or last-minute campaign developments could still separate the frontrunners before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,692
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?

Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?

77%
icon for Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

35%
icon for Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

64%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lucas Barreto" at 47%, followed by "Randolfe" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $16.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Lucas Barreto" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Randolfe" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.