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Elections·Brazil

Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Elections·Brazil

Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place

Delegado Éder Mauro 42%

Zequinha Marinho 30%

Celso Sabino 16%

Helder 6.7%

Polymarket

$23,333 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro 42%

Zequinha Marinho 30%

Celso Sabino 16%

Helder 6.7%

Polymarket

$23,333 Vol.

icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$13,087 Vol.

42%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$6,285 Vol.

30%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$480 Vol.

16%

icon for Helder

Helder

$1,525 Vol.

7%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$235 Vol.

6%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$551 Vol.

2%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$208 Vol.

2%

icon for Conti

Conti

$272 Vol.

1%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$230 Vol.

1%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$261 Vol.

<1%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$198 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) leading the Pará Senate race for one seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among center-right and center options. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position in that group at 14%, narrowly ahead of incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 11% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7%, all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15-32%) and the dual-vote system keep probabilities fluid, as voters can split preferences across candidates. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Éder Mauro highest for second, reflecting his consistent regional support and PL-aligned bloc, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign shifts before the October 4 election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,333
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling from late August shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) leading the Pará Senate race for one seat, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among center-right and center options. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holds the strongest position in that group at 14%, narrowly ahead of incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 11% and Celso Sabino (PDT) at 7%, all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15-32%) and the dual-vote system keep probabilities fluid, as voters can split preferences across candidates. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Éder Mauro highest for second, reflecting his consistent regional support and PL-aligned bloc, though the outcome remains sensitive to final campaign shifts before the October 4 election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,333
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 42%, followed by "Zequinha Marinho" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zequinha Marinho" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pará Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.