The Roraima Senate race for first place remains closely contested due to a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, high undecided rates near 67 percent in recent spontaneous polling, and voters selecting two senators on the same ballot. Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the narrowest lead in the latest Quaest survey from late August, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD), while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trail further back; these standings reflect name recognition among established figures such as the former Boa Vista mayor and sitting federal deputies. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August after party conventions, with limited subsequent shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders could emerge from consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences across bases, or last-minute alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 46%
Nicoletti 28.5%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.8%
$46,069 Vol.
$46,069 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
46%
Nicoletti
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
16%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 46%
Nicoletti 28.5%
Helio Bolsonaro 16%
Helena da Asatur 8.8%
$46,069 Vol.
$46,069 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$19,263 Vol.
46%
Nicoletti
$10,316 Vol.
29%
Helio Bolsonaro
$7,357 Vol.
16%
Helena da Asatur
$2,472 Vol.
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,382 Vol.
3%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for first place remains closely contested due to a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, high undecided rates near 67 percent in recent spontaneous polling, and voters selecting two senators on the same ballot. Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the narrowest lead in the latest Quaest survey from late August, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD), while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trail further back; these standings reflect name recognition among established figures such as the former Boa Vista mayor and sitting federal deputies. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August after party conventions, with limited subsequent shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders could emerge from consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences across bases, or last-minute alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$46,069End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Roraima Senate race for first place remains closely contested due to a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, high undecided rates near 67 percent in recent spontaneous polling, and voters selecting two senators on the same ballot. Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the narrowest lead in the latest Quaest survey from late August, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD), while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trail further back; these standings reflect name recognition among established figures such as the former Boa Vista mayor and sitting federal deputies. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August after party conventions, with limited subsequent shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders could emerge from consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences across bases, or last-minute alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,069End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima Senate race for first place remains closely contested due to a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, high undecided rates near 67 percent in recent spontaneous polling, and voters selecting two senators on the same ballot. Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the narrowest lead in the latest Quaest survey from late August, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) and Helena da Asatur (PSD), while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) trail further back; these standings reflect name recognition among established figures such as the former Boa Vista mayor and sitting federal deputies. Formal candidate registrations concluded in mid-August after party conventions, with limited subsequent shifts in positioning. Separation among contenders could emerge from consolidation of undecided voters, turnout differences across bases, or last-minute alliances ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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