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icon for Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

Gustavo Gayer 51%

Vanderlan Cardoso 17.8%

Gustavo Mendanha 15%

Dr. Zacharias Calil 12.7%

Polymarket

$28,648 Vol.

Gustavo Gayer 51%

Vanderlan Cardoso 17.8%

Gustavo Mendanha 15%

Dr. Zacharias Calil 12.7%

Polymarket

$28,648 Vol.

icon for Gustavo Gayer

Gustavo Gayer

$23,830 Vol.

51%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$740 Vol.

18%

icon for Gustavo Mendanha

Gustavo Mendanha

$320 Vol.

15%

icon for Dr. Zacharias Calil

Dr. Zacharias Calil

$315 Vol.

13%

icon for Gracinha Caiado

Gracinha Caiado

$2,128 Vol.

11%

icon for Iure Castro

Iure Castro

$207 Vol.

5%

icon for Ernesto Roller

Ernesto Roller

$212 Vol.

3%

icon for Cintia Dias

Cintia Dias

$316 Vol.

2%

icon for Guilherme Darques

Guilherme Darques

$191 Vol.

<1%

icon for Isaura Lemos

Isaura Lemos

$199 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oséias Varão

Oséias Varão

$189 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gustavo Gayer (PL) leads the Polymarket probabilities for second place at 51.5%, ahead of a crowded field where Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), Gustavo Mendanha (PRD), and others trail in the low-to-mid teens or lower.** Late-August 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) clearly ahead overall for one of Goiás’s two Senate seats on October 4, while the contest for the remaining seat remains fragmented. Gayer consistently ranks as the strongest challenger for second in combined first-and-second-choice scenarios (12–17%), benefiting from party structure and voter recognition as a sitting federal deputy. The field stays tight because no single alternative has consolidated support behind Caiado; Cardoso, Calil, and Mendanha each poll in the 6–12% range in combined votes, with high undecided shares (25%+) and low spontaneous name recognition leaving room for late shifts. Traders price Gayer highest for second place as the most credible alternative in current surveys, but the outcome hinges on turnout patterns, campaign momentum, and any final alliances or debates before election day. Further polling or visible consolidation among center-right or opposition voters could widen or narrow gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,648
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Gustavo Gayer (PL) leads the Polymarket probabilities for second place at 51.5%, ahead of a crowded field where Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD), Dr. Zacharias Calil (MDB), Gustavo Mendanha (PRD), and others trail in the low-to-mid teens or lower.** Late-August 2026 polls from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) clearly ahead overall for one of Goiás’s two Senate seats on October 4, while the contest for the remaining seat remains fragmented. Gayer consistently ranks as the strongest challenger for second in combined first-and-second-choice scenarios (12–17%), benefiting from party structure and voter recognition as a sitting federal deputy. The field stays tight because no single alternative has consolidated support behind Caiado; Cardoso, Calil, and Mendanha each poll in the 6–12% range in combined votes, with high undecided shares (25%+) and low spontaneous name recognition leaving room for late shifts. Traders price Gayer highest for second place as the most credible alternative in current surveys, but the outcome hinges on turnout patterns, campaign momentum, and any final alliances or debates before election day. Further polling or visible consolidation among center-right or opposition voters could widen or narrow gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,648
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gustavo Gayer" at 51%, followed by "Vanderlan Cardoso" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $28.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Gustavo Gayer" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vanderlan Cardoso" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.