**Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Paraíba’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting consistent polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Data Ranking (early September), show ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) commanding the top position with 27–53% consolidated support, while Veneziano trails but remains well ahead of the field at 17–34%. Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) registers in the low-to-mid teens in some samples, with Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) and others in single digits or lower. Campaign dynamics favor the two better-known figures: Azevêdo’s name recognition as outgoing governor and Veneziano’s incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking reelection. Voter surveys indicate many Paraíba residents have already made firm choices, limiting volatility. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in a contest where each elector selects two distinct names, reinforcing the current market hierarchy until late-campaign events or turnout shifts intervene.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVeneziano 79%
Nabor 20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.5%
Joao Azevêdo 1.9%
$21,357 Vol.
$21,357 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
79%
Nabor
20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
3%
Joao Azevêdo
2%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
André Gadelha
<1%
João Batista
<1%
Veneziano 79%
Nabor 20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.5%
Joao Azevêdo 1.9%
$21,357 Vol.
$21,357 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Veneziano
$10,640 Vol.
79%
Nabor
$3,749 Vol.
20%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$982 Vol.
3%
Joao Azevêdo
$863 Vol.
2%
Adriano Trajano
$1,907 Vol.
<1%
Major Fábio
$733 Vol.
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$658 Vol.
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$702 Vol.
<1%
André Gadelha
$666 Vol.
<1%
João Batista
$459 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Paraíba’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting consistent polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Data Ranking (early September), show ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) commanding the top position with 27–53% consolidated support, while Veneziano trails but remains well ahead of the field at 17–34%. Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) registers in the low-to-mid teens in some samples, with Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) and others in single digits or lower.
Campaign dynamics favor the two better-known figures: Azevêdo’s name recognition as outgoing governor and Veneziano’s incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking reelection. Voter surveys indicate many Paraíba residents have already made firm choices, limiting volatility. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in a contest where each elector selects two distinct names, reinforcing the current market hierarchy until late-campaign events or turnout shifts intervene.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$21,357End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Paraíba’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting consistent polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Data Ranking (early September), show ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) commanding the top position with 27–53% consolidated support, while Veneziano trails but remains well ahead of the field at 17–34%. Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) registers in the low-to-mid teens in some samples, with Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) and others in single digits or lower.
Campaign dynamics favor the two better-known figures: Azevêdo’s name recognition as outgoing governor and Veneziano’s incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking reelection. Voter surveys indicate many Paraíba residents have already made firm choices, limiting volatility. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in a contest where each elector selects two distinct names, reinforcing the current market hierarchy until late-campaign events or turnout shifts intervene.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,357End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) holds a strong lead in trader pricing for second place in Paraíba’s two-seat Senate race, reflecting consistent polling trends ahead of the October 4 vote.** Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and Data Ranking (early September), show ex-governor João Azevêdo (PSB) commanding the top position with 27–53% consolidated support, while Veneziano trails but remains well ahead of the field at 17–34%. Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) registers in the low-to-mid teens in some samples, with Dr. Marcelo Queiroga (PL) and others in single digits or lower. Campaign dynamics favor the two better-known figures: Azevêdo’s name recognition as outgoing governor and Veneziano’s incumbency advantage as a sitting senator seeking reelection. Voter surveys indicate many Paraíba residents have already made firm choices, limiting volatility. Lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in a contest where each elector selects two distinct names, reinforcing the current market hierarchy until late-campaign events or turnout shifts intervene.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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