**Nicoletti holds a narrow edge in the Roraima Senate second-place market amid a fragmented field where Teresa Surita, Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within the margin of error in the latest Quaest survey.** The August poll showed Surita at 19%, Nicoletti at 17%, and Helena at 16% when combining voter preferences for the two seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) at 5%; spontaneous responses left 67% undecided. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, so second-place outcomes hinge on how undecided voters consolidate and whether minor candidates or alliances siphon support from the top group. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with limited recent campaign developments or new polling to reorder the frontrunners and persistent uncertainty over turnout patterns among the 13 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNicoletti 51.4%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$61,719 Vol.
$61,719 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
51%
Teresa Surita
29%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 51.4%
Teresa Surita 29%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$61,719 Vol.
$61,719 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$10,577 Vol.
51%
Teresa Surita
$18,415 Vol.
29%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Vol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Vol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,898 Vol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$768 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Nicoletti holds a narrow edge in the Roraima Senate second-place market amid a fragmented field where Teresa Surita, Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within the margin of error in the latest Quaest survey.**
The August poll showed Surita at 19%, Nicoletti at 17%, and Helena at 16% when combining voter preferences for the two seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) at 5%; spontaneous responses left 67% undecided. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, so second-place outcomes hinge on how undecided voters consolidate and whether minor candidates or alliances siphon support from the top group. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with limited recent campaign developments or new polling to reorder the frontrunners and persistent uncertainty over turnout patterns among the 13 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$61,719End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Nicoletti holds a narrow edge in the Roraima Senate second-place market amid a fragmented field where Teresa Surita, Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within the margin of error in the latest Quaest survey.**
The August poll showed Surita at 19%, Nicoletti at 17%, and Helena at 16% when combining voter preferences for the two seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) at 5%; spontaneous responses left 67% undecided. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, so second-place outcomes hinge on how undecided voters consolidate and whether minor candidates or alliances siphon support from the top group. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with limited recent campaign developments or new polling to reorder the frontrunners and persistent uncertainty over turnout patterns among the 13 registered candidates.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$61,719End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Nicoletti holds a narrow edge in the Roraima Senate second-place market amid a fragmented field where Teresa Surita, Nicoletti (PL), and Helena da Asatur (PSD) remain clustered within the margin of error in the latest Quaest survey.** The August poll showed Surita at 19%, Nicoletti at 17%, and Helena at 16% when combining voter preferences for the two seats, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11% and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) at 5%; spontaneous responses left 67% undecided. Voters select two senators in a single round on October 4, so second-place outcomes hinge on how undecided voters consolidate and whether minor candidates or alliances siphon support from the top group. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with limited recent campaign developments or new polling to reorder the frontrunners and persistent uncertainty over turnout patterns among the 13 registered candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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