Recent polling trends position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for the second Senate seat in Amazonas, with Eduardo Braga (MDB) favored for first in most surveys conducted through early September. Alberto Neto draws particular strength in Manaus while maintaining competitive interior numbers, outpacing Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) in consolidated first- and second-preference responses. The race remains fluid due to high undecided shares and regional vote splits, though no major candidate announcements or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month. Traders price Alberto Neto highest for second place, aligning with patterns in August and September data ahead of the October 4 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 54%
Eduardo Braga 21.7%
Wilson Lima 6.7%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$24,557 Vol.
$24,557 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
54%
Eduardo Braga
22%
Wilson Lima
7%
Plinio Valério
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 54%
Eduardo Braga 21.7%
Wilson Lima 6.7%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$24,557 Vol.
$24,557 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$11,129 Vol.
54%
Eduardo Braga
$4,683 Vol.
22%
Wilson Lima
$4,956 Vol.
7%
Plinio Valério
$674 Vol.
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$778 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$506 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$518 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$796 Vol.
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
$516 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling trends position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for the second Senate seat in Amazonas, with Eduardo Braga (MDB) favored for first in most surveys conducted through early September. Alberto Neto draws particular strength in Manaus while maintaining competitive interior numbers, outpacing Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) in consolidated first- and second-preference responses. The race remains fluid due to high undecided shares and regional vote splits, though no major candidate announcements or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month. Traders price Alberto Neto highest for second place, aligning with patterns in August and September data ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$24,557End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling trends position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for the second Senate seat in Amazonas, with Eduardo Braga (MDB) favored for first in most surveys conducted through early September. Alberto Neto draws particular strength in Manaus while maintaining competitive interior numbers, outpacing Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) in consolidated first- and second-preference responses. The race remains fluid due to high undecided shares and regional vote splits, though no major candidate announcements or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month. Traders price Alberto Neto highest for second place, aligning with patterns in August and September data ahead of the October 4 election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,557End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) as the leading contender for the second Senate seat in Amazonas, with Eduardo Braga (MDB) favored for first in most surveys conducted through early September. Alberto Neto draws particular strength in Manaus while maintaining competitive interior numbers, outpacing Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) in consolidated first- and second-preference responses. The race remains fluid due to high undecided shares and regional vote splits, though no major candidate announcements or shifts have altered the hierarchy in the past month. Traders price Alberto Neto highest for second place, aligning with patterns in August and September data ahead of the October 4 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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