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icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Eduardo Braga 71%

Capitão Alberto Neto 10.7%

Plinio Valério 9.4%

Wilson Lima 4.1%

Polymarket

$31,463 Vol.

Eduardo Braga 71%

Capitão Alberto Neto 10.7%

Plinio Valério 9.4%

Wilson Lima 4.1%

Polymarket

$31,463 Vol.

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$15,323 Vol.

71%

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$5,654 Vol.

11%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$3,342 Vol.

9%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$3,361 Vol.

4%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$590 Vol.

<1%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$563 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$915 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$828 Vol.

<1%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$886 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking a third term, holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas' 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling leads in first-preference voting. Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and earlier June releases, show him ahead at 25-36% for the top slot, drawing support across Manaus and the interior amid eight confirmed candidates. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail as nearer challengers for the second seat, while Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and lower-polling names such as Xuxa do Amazonas remain distant. With the first-round vote set for October 4, trader consensus reflects Braga's incumbency advantage and regional base in a contest where two senators are elected statewide.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$31,463
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator seeking a third term, holds the strongest position for first place in Amazonas' 2026 Senate race due to consistent polling leads in first-preference voting. Recent surveys, including Quaest (late August) and earlier June releases, show him ahead at 25-36% for the top slot, drawing support across Manaus and the interior amid eight confirmed candidates. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) trail as nearer challengers for the second seat, while Wilson Lima (União Brasil) and lower-polling names such as Xuxa do Amazonas remain distant. With the first-round vote set for October 4, trader consensus reflects Braga's incumbency advantage and regional base in a contest where two senators are elected statewide.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$31,463
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Braga" at 71%, followed by "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $31.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Eduardo Braga" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.