Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds the leading position in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 21–36% in combined first- and second-choice votes across July–September 2026 surveys. As term-limited governor, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and prior executive experience that consolidates support ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trails as the primary challenger at 14–17%, while Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive for the second vacancy but lag in overall preference. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the multi-candidate field and late undecided voters introduce some uncertainty before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 9.8%
Zequinha Marinho 4.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.0%
$17,241 Vol.
$17,241 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
10%
Zequinha Marinho
4%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Conti
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Helder 80%
Delegado Éder Mauro 9.8%
Zequinha Marinho 4.0%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.0%
$17,241 Vol.
$17,241 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$11,644 Vol.
80%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 Vol.
10%
Zequinha Marinho
$569 Vol.
4%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$604 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$726 Vol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$529 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$499 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$562 Vol.
<1%
Willem da Silva
$436 Vol.
<1%
Conti
$551 Vol.
<1%
Chicão
$488 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds the leading position in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 21–36% in combined first- and second-choice votes across July–September 2026 surveys. As term-limited governor, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and prior executive experience that consolidates support ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trails as the primary challenger at 14–17%, while Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive for the second vacancy but lag in overall preference. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the multi-candidate field and late undecided voters introduce some uncertainty before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$17,241End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds the leading position in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 21–36% in combined first- and second-choice votes across July–September 2026 surveys. As term-limited governor, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and prior executive experience that consolidates support ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trails as the primary challenger at 14–17%, while Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive for the second vacancy but lag in overall preference. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the multi-candidate field and late undecided voters introduce some uncertainty before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,241End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds the leading position in the Pará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent polling leads of 21–36% in combined first- and second-choice votes across July–September 2026 surveys. As term-limited governor, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad coalition under “O Pará Tá Junto,” and prior executive experience that consolidates support ahead of the October 4 vote for two seats. Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) trails as the primary challenger at 14–17%, while Zequinha Marinho, Celso Sabino, and Chicão remain competitive for the second vacancy but lag in overall preference. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, though the multi-candidate field and late undecided voters introduce some uncertainty before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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