Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOmar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professora Maria do Carmo 18%
David Almeida 7.2%
$15,807 Vol.
$15,807 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
53%
Roberto Cidade
24%
Professora Maria do Carmo
18%
David Almeida
7%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 53%
Roberto Cidade 28.4%
Professora Maria do Carmo 18%
David Almeida 7.2%
$15,807 Vol.
$15,807 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$6,137 Vol.
53%
Roberto Cidade
$3,065 Vol.
24%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$3,283 Vol.
18%
David Almeida
$1,409 Vol.
7%
Cabo Daciolo
$523 Vol.
<1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$807 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$15,807End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,807End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Omar Aziz (PSD) leading first-round simulations for the Amazonas governorship with 26-34% support, ahead of interim governor Roberto Cidade (União Brasil) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) in the mid-teens to low 20s, while David Almeida and minor candidates trail further. Trader consensus prices Aziz near even money overall, reflecting his name recognition as a former governor and senator alongside a fragmented field that makes a first-round majority unlikely ahead of the October 4 vote. Cidade benefits from his current role following an indirect selection earlier in 2026, yet runoff scenarios remain statistically tied within margins of error. Upcoming campaign advertising, debates, and any shifts in alliances or turnout patterns among key regional blocs could widen gaps before potential second-round balloting on October 25.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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