Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads and his July 2026 party convention launch as the nominee with vice candidate Ricardo Leite. Surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 33-39% in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with other registered candidates such as Dr. Luisinho (Agir), Thor Dantas (PSB), and Eudo Raffael (PCB) polling in the low single digits or below. The October 4 first-round vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, favors the current frontrunner under Brazil’s electoral rules, where traders price in his established name recognition from prior Senate and federal deputy terms alongside the fragmented field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 66%
Mailza Assis 40%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,084 Vol.
$37,084 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
66%
Mailza Assis
40%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Alan Rick 66%
Mailza Assis 40%
Tião Bocalom <1%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
$37,084 Vol.
$37,084 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$19,809 Vol.
66%
Mailza Assis
$15,035 Vol.
40%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Vol.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads and his July 2026 party convention launch as the nominee with vice candidate Ricardo Leite. Surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 33-39% in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with other registered candidates such as Dr. Luisinho (Agir), Thor Dantas (PSB), and Eudo Raffael (PCB) polling in the low single digits or below. The October 4 first-round vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, favors the current frontrunner under Brazil’s electoral rules, where traders price in his established name recognition from prior Senate and federal deputy terms alongside the fragmented field.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$37,084End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads and his July 2026 party convention launch as the nominee with vice candidate Ricardo Leite. Surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 33-39% in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with other registered candidates such as Dr. Luisinho (Agir), Thor Dantas (PSB), and Eudo Raffael (PCB) polling in the low single digits or below. The October 4 first-round vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, favors the current frontrunner under Brazil’s electoral rules, where traders price in his established name recognition from prior Senate and federal deputy terms alongside the fragmented field.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,084End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick (Republicanos) holds the strongest position in the Acre gubernatorial race due to consistent polling leads and his July 2026 party convention launch as the nominee with vice candidate Ricardo Leite. Surveys from June through late August, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, placed him at 33-39% in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis (PP) at 24-26% and Tião Bocalom (PSDB) at 15-18%, with other registered candidates such as Dr. Luisinho (Agir), Thor Dantas (PSB), and Eudo Raffael (PCB) polling in the low single digits or below. The October 4 first-round vote, followed by a possible October 25 runoff, favors the current frontrunner under Brazil’s electoral rules, where traders price in his established name recognition from prior Senate and federal deputy terms alongside the fragmented field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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