Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the top spot in Tocantins's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting consistent voter preference amid a fragmented field for the second seat. A Veritá survey conducted September 7–12 showed Gomes with 43.1% of valid votes in consolidated first- and second-preference tallies, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25%, Eli Borges (Republicanos) at 20.4%, and Gaguim (União) at 19.1%. Multiple earlier polls from June through August similarly positioned Gomes as the clear frontrunner, with Guimarães and Gaguim clustered behind in the battle for second place. High undecided shares and technical margins of error in surveys have kept probabilities for most other listed candidates near even, while Gomes's established name recognition and party infrastructure underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status for first place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Gomes 74%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.0%
Gaguim 8.7%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,100 Vol.
$27,100 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
74%
Alexandre Guimarães
11%
Gaguim
9%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 74%
Alexandre Guimarães 10.0%
Gaguim 8.7%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,100 Vol.
$27,100 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$15,749 Vol.
74%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,426 Vol.
11%
Gaguim
$1,507 Vol.
9%
Paulo Mourão
$753 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$699 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$809 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$701 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$762 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$769 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$791 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$811 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the top spot in Tocantins's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting consistent voter preference amid a fragmented field for the second seat. A Veritá survey conducted September 7–12 showed Gomes with 43.1% of valid votes in consolidated first- and second-preference tallies, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25%, Eli Borges (Republicanos) at 20.4%, and Gaguim (União) at 19.1%. Multiple earlier polls from June through August similarly positioned Gomes as the clear frontrunner, with Guimarães and Gaguim clustered behind in the battle for second place. High undecided shares and technical margins of error in surveys have kept probabilities for most other listed candidates near even, while Gomes's established name recognition and party infrastructure underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status for first place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$27,100End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the top spot in Tocantins's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting consistent voter preference amid a fragmented field for the second seat. A Veritá survey conducted September 7–12 showed Gomes with 43.1% of valid votes in consolidated first- and second-preference tallies, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25%, Eli Borges (Republicanos) at 20.4%, and Gaguim (União) at 19.1%. Multiple earlier polls from June through August similarly positioned Gomes as the clear frontrunner, with Guimarães and Gaguim clustered behind in the battle for second place. High undecided shares and technical margins of error in surveys have kept probabilities for most other listed candidates near even, while Gomes's established name recognition and party infrastructure underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status for first place.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,100End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator, holds a commanding lead in recent polling for the top spot in Tocantins's October 4 Senate contest, reflecting consistent voter preference amid a fragmented field for the second seat. A Veritá survey conducted September 7–12 showed Gomes with 43.1% of valid votes in consolidated first- and second-preference tallies, well ahead of rivals including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) at 25%, Eli Borges (Republicanos) at 20.4%, and Gaguim (União) at 19.1%. Multiple earlier polls from June through August similarly positioned Gomes as the clear frontrunner, with Guimarães and Gaguim clustered behind in the battle for second place. High undecided shares and technical margins of error in surveys have kept probabilities for most other listed candidates near even, while Gomes's established name recognition and party infrastructure underpin trader consensus on his frontrunner status for first place.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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