Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Federal District Senate race at 57%, ahead of a crowded field where Leila do Vôlei sits near 38% and Michelle Bolsonaro at 5%. The two-vote system for the October 4 election creates tight dynamics, with recent Datafolha and Igape polling showing Michelle ahead overall while Bia, Leila, and Erika Kokay cluster closely behind amid high undecided shares near 20%. Lula's recent public appeals for support of the PT and PDT candidates, combined with PL's paired slate strategy, have reinforced polarization without producing clear separation. Further polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBia Kicis 50.3%
Leila do Vôlei 38%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.7%
Erika Kokay <1%
$46,667 Vol.
$46,667 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
58%
Leila do Vôlei
38%
Michelle Bolsonaro
6%
Erika Kokay
<1%
Avenir Rosa
<1%
David Horn
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
<1%
Marley
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
<1%
Tiago
<1%
Zanata
<1%
Bia Kicis 50.3%
Leila do Vôlei 38%
Michelle Bolsonaro 5.7%
Erika Kokay <1%
$46,667 Vol.
$46,667 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Bia Kicis
$11,829 Vol.
58%
Leila do Vôlei
$16,237 Vol.
38%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$5,506 Vol.
6%
Erika Kokay
$7,196 Vol.
<1%
Avenir Rosa
$437 Vol.
<1%
David Horn
$2,060 Vol.
<1%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$381 Vol.
<1%
Marley
$392 Vol.
<1%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$878 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$407 Vol.
<1%
Sebastião Coelho
$381 Vol.
<1%
Tiago
$546 Vol.
<1%
Zanata
$417 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Federal District Senate race at 57%, ahead of a crowded field where Leila do Vôlei sits near 38% and Michelle Bolsonaro at 5%. The two-vote system for the October 4 election creates tight dynamics, with recent Datafolha and Igape polling showing Michelle ahead overall while Bia, Leila, and Erika Kokay cluster closely behind amid high undecided shares near 20%. Lula's recent public appeals for support of the PT and PDT candidates, combined with PL's paired slate strategy, have reinforced polarization without producing clear separation. Further polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$46,667End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Federal District Senate race at 57%, ahead of a crowded field where Leila do Vôlei sits near 38% and Michelle Bolsonaro at 5%. The two-vote system for the October 4 election creates tight dynamics, with recent Datafolha and Igape polling showing Michelle ahead overall while Bia, Leila, and Erika Kokay cluster closely behind amid high undecided shares near 20%. Lula's recent public appeals for support of the PT and PDT candidates, combined with PL's paired slate strategy, have reinforced polarization without producing clear separation. Further polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps before voting concludes.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,667End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bia Kicis leads trader consensus for second place in the Federal District Senate race at 57%, ahead of a crowded field where Leila do Vôlei sits near 38% and Michelle Bolsonaro at 5%. The two-vote system for the October 4 election creates tight dynamics, with recent Datafolha and Igape polling showing Michelle ahead overall while Bia, Leila, and Erika Kokay cluster closely behind amid high undecided shares near 20%. Lula's recent public appeals for support of the PT and PDT candidates, combined with PL's paired slate strategy, have reinforced polarization without producing clear separation. Further polling shifts, turnout patterns among key blocs, or late endorsements could widen gaps before voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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