California Proposition 37 would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program offering fixed-rate financing up to 17% of the purchase price for qualified new homes. Eligible buyers must be state residents for at least one year, meet income limits at or below 200% of area median income, and provide at least 3% down payment, with all bonds repaid through homeowner mortgage payments rather than state funds. The citizen-initiated measure qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after gathering nearly double the required signatures. Trader consensus at 62% for passage reflects the program's emphasis on middle-class homeownership amid persistent affordability pressures, its self-funding design, and limited organized opposition, though broader ballot competition and voter caution on bond measures introduce uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCalifornia Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 1, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California Proposition 37 would authorize the California Housing Finance Agency to issue up to $25 billion in revenue bonds for a second-mortgage loan program offering fixed-rate financing up to 17% of the purchase price for qualified new homes. Eligible buyers must be state residents for at least one year, meet income limits at or below 200% of area median income, and provide at least 3% down payment, with all bonds repaid through homeowner mortgage payments rather than state funds. The citizen-initiated measure qualified for the November 3, 2026 ballot after gathering nearly double the required signatures. Trader consensus at 62% for passage reflects the program's emphasis on middle-class homeownership amid persistent affordability pressures, its self-funding design, and limited organized opposition, though broader ballot competition and voter caution on bond measures introduce uncertainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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